Language:English
St Patricks Athletic v Drogheda United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St Patricks Athletic (Local)
Prediction 60.09%1.66fair odd
EV -0.850%
Edge -0.515%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.71%59.76%60.01%61.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.571.551.6569.44%63.79%64.52%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Drogheda United (Visit)
Prediction 15.19%6.58fair odd
EV +4.49%
Edge +0.653%
Kelly +0.764%
Growth +0.034%
assuming max odds 6.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.92%15.39%15.25%18.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.655.506.8820.00%17.69%18.18%14.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.72%4.05fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -0.919%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.29%24.85%24.74%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.613.603.9030.30%27.71%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Patricks Athletic (Local): 60.09%; Drogheda United (Visit): 15.19%; Draw: 24.72%. For Drogheda United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.58. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.49%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.01%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 6.88I 14.53%NM 13.92%EV +4.49%E +0.653%K +0.764%G +0.034% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.07%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.67%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV -1.28%E -0.197%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.58%EV -3.59%E -0.919%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.67%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV -1.28%E -0.197%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.58%EV -3.59%E -0.919%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.63%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -1.28%E -0.197%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -4.82%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 19:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.05%EV -8.06%E -5.27%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -1.28%E -0.197%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 19:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.13%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.68%EV -3.56%E -0.561%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 19:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.89%EV -8.06%E -5.27%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -5.08%E -0.813%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-13 19:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.39%EV -8.66%E -5.70%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -5.84%E -0.942%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.26%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.30%EV -7.05%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.44%EV -9.02%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-13 19:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.97%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.24%EV -7.36%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -7.29%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.90%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.67%EV -8.88%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -4.82%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -8.88%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.57%EV -7.46%E -4.84%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -8.88%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-13 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.46%E -4.84%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -8.88%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-13 19:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.86%E -6.58%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -8.88%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 19:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.47%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.62%EV -10.39%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-13 19:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.22%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -12.67%E -2.20%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-13 19:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.22%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -12.67%E -2.20%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.22%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -12.67%E -2.20%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -8.06%E -5.27%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -12.67%E -2.20%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -7.29%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-13 19:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -8.06%E -5.27%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -12.67%E -2.20%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -7.29%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -12.67%E -2.20%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-13 19:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.19%EV -9.86%E -6.58%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -12.67%E -2.20%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-13 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.15%EV -7.46%E -4.84%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.56%EV -16.47%E -2.99%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -7.29%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-13 19:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -8.06%E -5.27%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -16.47%E -2.99%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-13 19:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -8.06%E -5.27%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -16.47%E -2.99%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-13 19:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -8.06%E -5.27%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -16.47%E -2.99%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-13 19:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -8.06%E -5.27%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -16.47%E -2.99%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-13 19:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.89%EV -9.86%E -6.58%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.79%EV -16.47%E -2.99%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -18.42%E -5.58%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-13 19:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.76%EV -13.47%E -9.35%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -16.47%E -2.99%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-13 19:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.77%EV -10.46%E -7.02%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.22%EV -17.99%E -3.33%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.02%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.72%EV -11.07%E -7.48%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.09%EV -17.99%E -3.33%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.19%EV -14.71%E -4.26%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-13 19:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.65%EV -9.86%E -6.58%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -21.03%E -4.04%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-13 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -0.850%E -0.515%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -22.54%E -4.42%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 19:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -0.850%E -0.515%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -22.54%E -4.42%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 19:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -0.850%E -0.515%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -22.54%E -4.42%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 19:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -0.850%E -0.515%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -22.54%E -4.42%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 19:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -0.850%E -0.515%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -22.54%E -4.42%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 19:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -0.850%E -0.515%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -22.54%E -4.42%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 19:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -0.850%E -0.515%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -22.54%E -4.42%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 19:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -0.850%E -0.515%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -22.54%E -4.42%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 19:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -0.850%E -0.515%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -22.54%E -4.42%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 19:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -0.850%E -0.515%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -22.54%E -4.42%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -0.850%E -0.515%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -22.54%E -4.42%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.81%EV -2.05%E -1.26%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -24.06%E -4.81%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-13 19:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.75%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -24.06%E -4.81%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -14.71%E -4.26%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-13 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.75%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -24.06%E -4.81%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -14.71%E -4.26%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-13 19:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.73% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84% | 0.6% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.73% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84% | 0.6% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.64% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66% | 1.4% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |