La escuela de los momios

St Patricks Athletic v Drogheda United

Inicio: 2026-03-13 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

St Patricks Athletic (Local)

Predicción 60.09%1.66momio equitativo
EV -0.850%
Ventaja -0.515%
Kelly -1.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.71%59.76%60.01%61.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.571.551.6569.44%63.79%64.52%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Drogheda United (Visitante)

Predicción 15.19%6.58momio equitativo
EV +4.49%
Ventaja +0.653%
Kelly +0.764%
Crecimiento +0.034%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.92%15.39%15.25%18.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.655.506.8820.00%17.69%18.18%14.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.72%4.05momio equitativo
EV -3.59%
Ventaja -0.919%
Kelly -1.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.29%24.85%24.74%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.613.603.9030.30%27.71%27.78%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.01%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.92%G +0.000%6.88I 14.53%NM 13.92%EV +4.49%E +0.653%K +0.764%G +0.034%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.07%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 19:30
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.67%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV -1.28%E -0.197%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.58%EV -3.59%E -0.919%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 19:25
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.67%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV -1.28%E -0.197%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.58%EV -3.59%E -0.919%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 19:25
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.63%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -1.28%E -0.197%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -4.82%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 19:20
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.05%EV -8.06%E -5.27%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -1.28%E -0.197%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -6.06%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 19:34
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.13%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.68%EV -3.56%E -0.561%K -0.665%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 19:39
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 59.89%EV -8.06%E -5.27%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -5.08%E -0.813%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 19:24
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.39%EV -8.66%E -5.70%K -16.66%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -5.84%E -0.942%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:25
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.26%EV -5.06%E -3.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.12I 16.34%NM 15.30%EV -7.05%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.44%EV -9.02%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 19:35
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.97%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.24%EV -7.36%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -7.29%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 19:40
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 59.90%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.67%EV -8.88%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -4.82%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 19:25
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -5.66%E -3.60%K -9.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -8.88%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:25
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 59.57%EV -7.46%E -4.84%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -8.88%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.77%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 19:20
PointsBet (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.46%E -4.84%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -8.88%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-13 19:20
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.86%E -6.58%K -19.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -8.88%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 19:19
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.47%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.62%EV -10.39%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 19:20
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 59.22%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -12.67%E -2.20%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:24
BetUS1.55I 64.52%NM 59.22%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -12.67%E -2.20%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:30
BetAnything1.55I 64.52%NM 59.22%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -12.67%E -2.20%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -8.53%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:30
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -8.06%E -5.27%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -12.67%E -2.20%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -7.29%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-13 19:29
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -8.06%E -5.27%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -12.67%E -2.20%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -7.29%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-13 19:30
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -6.86%E -4.43%K -12.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -12.67%E -2.20%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-13 19:14
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.19%EV -9.86%E -6.58%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -12.67%E -2.20%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-13 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.15%EV -7.46%E -4.84%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.56%EV -16.47%E -2.99%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -7.29%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -8.06%E -5.27%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -16.47%E -2.99%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-13 19:15
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -8.06%E -5.27%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -16.47%E -2.99%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-13 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -8.06%E -5.27%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -16.47%E -2.99%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-13 19:15
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -8.06%E -5.27%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -16.47%E -2.99%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-13 19:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.89%EV -9.86%E -6.58%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.79%EV -16.47%E -2.99%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -18.42%E -5.58%K -8.01%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-13 19:20
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 59.76%EV -13.47%E -9.35%K -30.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -16.47%E -2.99%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-13 19:34
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 58.77%EV -10.46%E -7.02%K -21.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.22%EV -17.99%E -3.33%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.02%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-13 19:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 58.72%EV -11.07%E -7.48%K -23.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.09%EV -17.99%E -3.33%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.19%EV -14.71%E -4.26%K -6.00%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-13 19:20
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.65%EV -9.86%E -6.58%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -21.03%E -4.04%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-13 19:20
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -0.850%E -0.515%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -22.54%E -4.42%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:15
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -0.850%E -0.515%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -22.54%E -4.42%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:15
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -0.850%E -0.515%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -22.54%E -4.42%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:15
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -0.850%E -0.515%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -22.54%E -4.42%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:14
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -0.850%E -0.515%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -22.54%E -4.42%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:15
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -0.850%E -0.515%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -22.54%E -4.42%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:15
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -0.850%E -0.515%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -22.54%E -4.42%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:15
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -0.850%E -0.515%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -22.54%E -4.42%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:15
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -0.850%E -0.515%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -22.54%E -4.42%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:15
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -0.850%E -0.515%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -22.54%E -4.42%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:15
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -0.850%E -0.515%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -22.54%E -4.42%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.81%EV -2.05%E -1.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -24.06%E -4.81%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 19:15
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.75%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -24.06%E -4.81%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -14.71%E -4.26%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-13 19:15
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.75%EV -2.65%E -1.64%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -24.06%E -4.81%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -14.71%E -4.26%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-13 19:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.73%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.6%2026-03-13 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.73%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.6%2026-03-13 19:40
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-03-13 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.64%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-03-13 19:40