Language:English
Sligo Rovers v Waterford FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sligo Rovers (Local)
Prediction 46.14%2.17fair odd
EV -4.04%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -3.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.39%46.17%46.00%47.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.002.002.0853.19%49.99%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Waterford FC (Visit)
Prediction 25.74%3.89fair odd
EV +2.95%
Edge +0.737%
Kelly +0.983%
Growth +0.029%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.59%25.74%25.79%27.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.453.384.0031.75%29.00%29.63%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.13%3.56fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.445%
Kelly -0.624%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.15%28.09%28.21%29.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.263.273.5034.72%30.72%30.53%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sligo Rovers (Local): 46.14%; Waterford FC (Visit): 25.74%; Draw: 28.13%. For Waterford FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.95%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.40%EV -6.34%E -3.12%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.05%EV +2.95%E +0.737%K +0.983%G +0.029% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.55%EV -5.22%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -10.96%E -5.68%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV +0.375%E +0.096%K +0.129%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.18%EV -8.65%E -4.37%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.52%EV -1.94%E -0.510%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -7.73%E -3.86%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -2.20%E -0.579%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -5.78%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.73%E -3.86%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -2.20%E -0.579%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.73%E -3.86%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -2.20%E -0.579%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.84%EV -8.19%E -4.11%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.92%EV -3.74%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 18:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.44%EV -10.03%E -5.15%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -11.40%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 18:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -6.80%E -3.37%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -6.80%E -3.37%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.73%E -3.86%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 18:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -10.03%E -5.15%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 18:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.73%E -3.86%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -8.63%E -2.43%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.73%E -3.86%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -8.63%E -2.43%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.74%EV -8.65%E -4.37%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -8.63%E -2.43%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -11.40%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 18:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -9.92%E -2.83%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -1.56%E -0.445%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 19:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.73%E -3.86%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.92%E -2.83%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.37%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 17:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -8.65%E -4.37%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.92%E -2.83%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.48%EV -13.26%E -7.05%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.33%EV -11.21%E -3.25%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-18 18:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.42%E -2.64%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -12.49%E -3.67%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.42%E -2.64%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -12.49%E -3.67%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.73%E -3.86%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.49%E -3.67%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.73%E -3.86%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -12.49%E -3.67%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.03%E -5.15%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.49%E -3.67%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.82%EV -11.42%E -5.95%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -13.78%E -4.11%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.93%EV -11.40%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-18 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 18:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 18:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -5.88%E -2.88%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.73%E -3.86%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-16 19:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.03%E -5.15%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.03%E -5.15%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-18 18:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.03%E -5.15%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-18 18:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.03%E -5.15%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-18 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.03%E -5.15%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-18 18:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.09%EV -12.34%E -6.49%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.60%EV -11.88%E -6.22%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.82%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.58%EV -19.00%E -6.60%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -6.80%E -3.37%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -16.35%E -5.03%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -6.80%E -3.37%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -16.35%E -5.03%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 18:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.55%EV -9.57%E -4.88%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -18.93%E -6.01%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -11.40%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.63% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-04-18 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.63% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-04-18 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.63% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-04-18 18:40 |