L’École des cotes

Sligo Rovers v Waterford FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 18:45 UTC

Score final : Sligo Rovers 2–0 Waterford FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sligo Rovers (Local)

Prévision 46.14%2.17cote équitable
EV -4.04%
Avantage -1.94%
Kelly -3.74%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.39%46.17%46.00%47.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.882.002.002.0853.19%49.99%50.00%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Waterford FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.74%3.89cote équitable
EV +2.95%
Avantage +0.737%
Kelly +0.983%
Croissance +0.029%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.59%25.74%25.79%27.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.453.384.0031.75%29.00%29.63%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.13%3.56cote équitable
EV -1.56%
Avantage -0.445%
Kelly -0.624%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.15%28.09%28.21%29.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.263.273.5034.72%30.72%30.53%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 47.40%EV -6.34%E -3.12%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.05%EV +2.95%E +0.737%K +0.983%G +0.029%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.55%EV -5.22%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 18:40
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -10.96%E -5.68%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV +0.375%E +0.096%K +0.129%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:40
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.18%EV -8.65%E -4.37%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.52%EV -1.94%E -0.510%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 18:40
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -7.73%E -3.86%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -2.20%E -0.579%K -0.785%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -5.78%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 18:40
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.73%E -3.86%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -2.20%E -0.579%K -0.785%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 17:50
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.73%E -3.86%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -2.20%E -0.579%K -0.785%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 17:50
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.84%EV -8.19%E -4.11%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.92%EV -3.74%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 18:40
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.44%EV -10.03%E -5.15%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -11.40%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 18:35
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -6.80%E -3.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 18:40
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -6.80%E -3.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 18:40
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.73%E -3.86%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 18:14
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -10.03%E -5.15%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 18:39
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.73%E -3.86%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -8.63%E -2.43%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 18:20
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.73%E -3.86%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -8.63%E -2.43%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 18:20
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 45.74%EV -8.65%E -4.37%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -8.63%E -2.43%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -11.40%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 18:34
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -9.92%E -2.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -1.56%E -0.445%K -0.624%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 19:49
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.73%E -3.86%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.92%E -2.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.37%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 17:54
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -8.65%E -4.37%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.92%E -2.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 18:40
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.48%EV -13.26%E -7.05%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.33%EV -11.21%E -3.25%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-18 18:39
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.42%E -2.64%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -12.49%E -3.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 17:55
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.42%E -2.64%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -12.49%E -3.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 17:55
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.73%E -3.86%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.49%E -3.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 18:00
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.73%E -3.86%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -12.49%E -3.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 17:55
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.03%E -5.15%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.49%E -3.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-18 17:55
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.82%EV -11.42%E -5.95%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -13.78%E -4.11%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.93%EV -11.40%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 18:40
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 18:15
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 18:15
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 18:15
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 18:20
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 18:20
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 18:15
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 18:20
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 18:20
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 18:20
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 18:20
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.18%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -5.88%E -2.88%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 18:20
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.73%E -3.86%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-16 19:49
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.03%E -5.15%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-18 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.03%E -5.15%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-18 18:34
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.03%E -5.15%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-18 18:34
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.03%E -5.15%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-18 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.03%E -5.15%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-18 18:34
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 46.09%EV -12.34%E -6.49%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-18 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.60%EV -11.88%E -6.22%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.82%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.58%EV -19.00%E -6.60%K -10.10%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-18 10:55
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -6.80%E -3.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -16.35%E -5.03%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 18:20
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -6.80%E -3.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -16.35%E -5.03%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 18:15
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.55%EV -9.57%E -4.88%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -18.93%E -6.01%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -11.40%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-18 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-04-18 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-04-18 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-04-18 18:40
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-04-18 18:40