Language:English
Sligo Rovers v Waterford FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sligo Rovers (Local)
Prediction 31.19%3.21fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -0.865%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.64%31.31%31.10%34.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.852.873.1240.00%35.07%34.84%32.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Waterford FC (Visit)
Prediction 42.32%2.36fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.598%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.78%42.23%42.38%44.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.202.3348.78%45.37%45.45%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.49%3.77fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -0.904%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.53%26.47%26.51%27.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.403.403.6531.75%29.38%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sligo Rovers (Local): 31.19%; Waterford FC (Visit): 42.32%; Draw: 26.49%. For Waterford FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.33, with an expected value of -1.39%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.85%EV -2.70%E -0.865%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.78%EV -4.78%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.37%EV -3.30%E -0.904%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-21 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -3.32%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -13.24%E -6.46%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.63%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.30%EV -3.63%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.17%EV -6.05%E -2.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -9.92%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-21 18:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.17%EV -4.78%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -5.95%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.95%EV -5.20%E -2.32%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -8.60%E -2.49%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-21 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.95%EV -5.20%E -2.32%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -8.60%E -2.49%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-21 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.66%EV -5.19%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.56%EV -7.32%E -3.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -7.80%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 18:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.78%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.63%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 18:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.90%E -3.13%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.92%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-21 18:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.92%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-21 18:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -10.28%E -4.85%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.25%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.90%E -3.13%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.63%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-21 18:38 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -7.74%E -3.55%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.92%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -7.74%E -3.55%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.92%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-21 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.00%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.92%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-21 18:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -6.90%E -3.13%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.57%E -3.81%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 18:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.48%EV -9.56%E -3.30%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.13%EV -13.24%E -6.46%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -11.25%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -10.18%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.92%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -10.18%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -11.13%E -5.30%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -12.57%E -3.81%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -10.18%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -11.13%E -5.30%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -12.57%E -3.81%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.90%EV -10.49%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.23%EV -11.13%E -5.30%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.57%E -3.81%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.90%EV -10.49%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.23%EV -11.13%E -5.30%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.57%E -3.81%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -4.78%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.92%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 13:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -6.90%E -3.13%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -6.90%E -3.13%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.41%EV -11.12%E -3.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.63%EV -11.13%E -5.30%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -8.60%E -2.49%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.68%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.68%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.68%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.68%E -4.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.92%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -14.24%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.07%EV -11.97%E -5.76%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -11.25%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-21 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -15.80%E -5.85%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -1.39%E -0.598%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -11.25%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -15.80%E -5.85%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -1.39%E -0.598%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -11.25%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -15.80%E -5.85%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -1.39%E -0.598%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -11.25%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -15.80%E -5.85%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -1.39%E -0.598%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -11.25%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -15.80%E -5.85%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -1.39%E -0.598%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -11.25%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -15.80%E -5.85%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -1.39%E -0.598%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -11.25%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -15.80%E -5.85%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -1.39%E -0.598%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -11.25%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -15.80%E -5.85%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -1.39%E -0.598%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -11.25%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -15.80%E -5.85%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -1.39%E -0.598%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -11.25%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -17.98%E -6.84%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -2.66%E -1.16%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.57%E -3.81%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -18.91%E -7.27%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.94%EV -3.51%E -1.54%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -12.57%E -3.81%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-21 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -18.91%E -7.27%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -4.78%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -13.90%E -4.28%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -18.91%E -7.27%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -4.78%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -13.90%E -4.28%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.13%EV -22.03%E -8.81%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.78%EV -6.90%E -3.13%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.09%EV -16.55%E -5.25%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69% | 1.3% | 2026-08-21 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69% | 1.3% | 2026-08-21 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69% | 1.3% | 2026-08-21 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69% | 1.3% | 2026-08-21 18:55 |