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Sligo Rovers v Waterford FC

2026-08-21 19:00 UTC — League of Ireland

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sligo Rovers (Local)

Prediction 32.06%3.12fair odd
EV -5.44%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -2.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.10%31.91%32.06%32.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.852.902.9537.04%35.05%34.54%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Waterford FC (Visit)

Prediction 41.11%2.43fair odd
EV -4.21%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -3.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.68%41.31%41.11%42.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.212.232.3347.62%45.33%44.94%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.83%3.73fair odd
EV -4.47%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.22%26.79%26.83%27.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.393.383.5631.25%29.52%29.63%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sligo Rovers (Local): 32.06%; Waterford FC (Visit): 41.11%; Draw: 26.83%. For Waterford FC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.33, with an expected value of -4.21%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -5.44%E -1.84%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -11.61%E -5.40%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-13 21:29
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.55%EV -6.40%E -2.19%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.95%EV -7.50%E -3.33%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -10.11%E -3.02%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-13 21:29
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.55%EV -6.40%E -2.19%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.95%EV -7.50%E -3.33%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -10.11%E -3.02%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-13 21:29
Pinnacle🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.69%EV -7.04%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.68%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.63%EV -4.47%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-13 21:30
1xBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.04%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.75%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.93%EV -6.62%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-13 23:03
Marathon Bet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.28%EV -7.36%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.91%EV -6.27%E -2.75%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -6.62%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 23:00
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -8.64%E -3.03%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -9.56%E -4.34%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-13 23:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -11.85%E -4.31%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -13.67%E -6.51%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-13 21:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -11.85%E -4.31%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.32%EV -13.67%E -6.51%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -14.13%E -4.42%K -6.42%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-13 21:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.09%EV -13.45%E -4.98%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.26%EV -13.67%E -6.51%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.66%EV -12.79%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-13 21:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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