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Sligo Rovers v St Patricks Athletic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sligo Rovers (Local)
Prediction 10.71%9.34fair odd
EV +7.11%
Edge +0.711%
Kelly +0.790%
Growth +0.056%
assuming max odds 10.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.54%10.75%10.59%12.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.338.4510.0014.29%12.00%11.83%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St Patricks Athletic (Visit)
Prediction 71.37%1.40fair odd
EV -5.08%
Edge -3.82%
Kelly -15.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.39%71.28%71.49%73.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.301.301.3381.97%76.95%76.92%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.92%5.58fair odd
EV +0.356%
Edge +0.064%
Kelly +0.077%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.12%17.96%17.92%20.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.354.965.005.6022.99%20.16%20.00%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sligo Rovers (Local): 10.71%; St Patricks Athletic (Visit): 71.37%; Draw: 17.92%. For Sligo Rovers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.34. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.11%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV +7.11%E +0.711%K +0.790%G +0.056% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.28%EV -5.79%E -4.39%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -5.92%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 9.87I 10.13%NM 9.71%EV +5.72%E +0.579%K +0.645%G +0.037% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.17%EV -6.51%E -4.97%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.12%EV +0.356%E +0.064%K +0.077%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-19 18:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV +1.76%E +0.185%K +0.207%G +0.004% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -8.65%E -6.76%K -30.89%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -5.02%E -0.947%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 18:43 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 9.44I 10.59%NM 9.90%EV +1.11%E +0.118%K +0.132%G +0.001% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.29%EV -5.08%E -3.82%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 19.81%EV -15.41%E -3.27%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 18:43 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -3.60%E -0.400%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.68%EV -6.51%E -4.97%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -5.92%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-19 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -3.60%E -0.400%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -7.94%E -6.15%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -3.60%E -0.400%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.43%EV -9.36%E -7.37%K -34.68%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -5.02%E -0.947%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-19 18:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -3.60%E -0.400%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.09%EV -7.94%E -6.15%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -12.19%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -3.60%E -0.400%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -10.79%E -8.63%K -43.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-19 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.57%EV -5.74%E -0.652%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.54%EV -7.22%E -5.55%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.89%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 18:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -8.96%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -5.08%E -3.82%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 18:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -8.96%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -5.08%E -3.82%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 18:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -8.96%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -5.08%E -3.82%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -8.96%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -5.08%E -3.82%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 18:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -8.96%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -5.08%E -3.82%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 18:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -8.96%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -5.08%E -3.82%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -8.96%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -5.08%E -3.82%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 18:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -8.96%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -5.08%E -3.82%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -8.96%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -5.08%E -3.82%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 18:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -8.96%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.35%EV -6.51%E -4.97%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -12.19%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-19 18:41 |
| William Hill🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -8.96%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -7.22%E -5.55%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-19 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -8.96%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.39%EV -5.08%E -3.82%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.91%EV -22.04%E -5.07%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-19 18:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -8.96%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.82%EV -7.94%E -6.15%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -17.56%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.92%EV -10.03%E -1.19%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.55%EV -7.22%E -5.55%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.53%EV -11.29%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-19 18:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.92%EV -10.03%E -1.19%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.55%EV -7.22%E -5.55%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.53%EV -11.29%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-19 18:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.61%EV -11.63%E -1.41%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.16%EV -12.22%E -9.93%K -53.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.23%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.32%EV -12.17%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.84%EV -6.51%E -4.97%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.32%EV -12.17%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.84%EV -6.51%E -4.97%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.32%EV -12.17%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.84%EV -6.51%E -4.97%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.32%EV -12.17%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.84%EV -6.51%E -4.97%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -14.31%E -1.79%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -7.22%E -5.55%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.92%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.23%EV -14.31%E -1.79%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.65%EV -7.94%E -6.15%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -15.77%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-19 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.23%EV -14.31%E -1.79%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.65%EV -7.94%E -6.15%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -15.77%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-19 18:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.23%EV -14.31%E -1.79%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.65%EV -7.94%E -6.15%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -15.77%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-19 18:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.17%EV -14.31%E -1.79%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.82%EV -8.65%E -6.76%K -30.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.01%EV -15.77%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-19 18:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.03%EV -14.31%E -1.79%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -10.79%E -8.63%K -43.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.94%EV -16.99%E -2.19%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -5.08%E -3.82%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-19 18:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -19.67%E -2.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.65%EV -7.94%E -6.15%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.20%EV -5.02%E -0.947%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-19 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -19.67%E -2.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -7.22%E -5.55%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -12.19%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.67%E -2.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.22%E -5.55%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.67%E -2.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.22%E -5.55%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.67%E -2.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.22%E -5.55%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.47%EV -19.67%E -2.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 69.40%EV -11.50%E -9.28%K -47.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -19.36%E -4.30%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-09-19 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 11.62%EV -21.81%E -2.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 69.53%EV -12.93%E -10.60%K -58.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.85%EV -19.36%E -4.30%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-09-19 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.37%EV -22.34%E -3.08%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.05%EV -8.65%E -6.76%K -30.89%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.58%EV -8.60%E -1.69%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-19 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -25.02%E -3.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -7.22%E -5.55%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-19 18:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.13% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84% | 0.7% | 2026-09-19 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.13% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84% | 0.7% | 2026-09-19 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.82% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.76% | 1.1% | 2026-09-19 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.82% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.76% | 1.1% | 2026-09-19 18:40 |