Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sligo Rovers v St Patricks Athletic

2026-09-19 18:45 UTC — League of Ireland

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sligo Rovers (Local)

Prediction 16.48%6.07fair odd
EV -6.06%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.00%16.48%16.48%17.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.415.605.7020.41%18.47%17.86%17.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St Patricks Athletic (Visit)

Prediction 59.49%1.68fair odd
EV -6.01%
Edge -3.81%
Kelly -10.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.81%59.49%59.49%60.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.531.541.5868.97%65.23%64.72%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.03%4.16fair odd
EV -6.27%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -2.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.20%24.03%24.03%24.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.803.853.9028.17%26.32%25.97%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sligo Rovers (Local): 16.48%; St Patricks Athletic (Visit): 59.49%; Draw: 24.03%. For St Patricks Athletic (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.68. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.58, with an expected value of -6.01%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.00%EV -6.06%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.00%EV -9.58%E -6.30%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.67%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 19:05
NordicBet🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.00%EV -6.06%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.00%EV -9.58%E -6.30%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.67%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 19:05
Unibet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV -7.71%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.27%EV -6.01%E -3.81%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 19:05
Grosvenor🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -7.71%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 19:04
Casumo🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -7.71%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 19:05
Unibet (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -7.71%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 19:05
Unibet (NL)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -7.71%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 19:05
betPARX🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -7.71%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 19:04
ATG (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -7.71%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 19:05
Svenska Spel🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -7.71%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 19:05
TABtouch🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -7.71%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 20:40
1xBet🎯5.53I 18.08%NM 16.83%EV -8.86%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.30%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 19:15
Virgin Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -13.48%E -2.57%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.81%EV -9.58%E -6.30%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.08%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 19:04
LiveScore Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -13.48%E -2.57%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.81%EV -9.58%E -6.30%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.08%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 19:05
BetRivers🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -13.48%E -2.57%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.97%EV -10.18%E -6.74%K -19.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.07%EV -11.08%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-12 19:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.03%EV -14.30%E -2.75%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.04%EV -10.77%E -7.18%K -21.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -11.08%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-12 19:05
Unibet (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 16.80%EV -15.95%E -3.13%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 59.07%EV -13.75%E -9.48%K -30.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.13%EV -14.68%E -4.14%K -5.76%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-12 19:04
Winamax (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.63%EV -17.60%E -3.52%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.17%EV -11.37%E -7.63%K -23.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.67%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-12 19:25
PMU (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.07%EV -17.60%E -3.52%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 58.88%EV -13.75%E -9.48%K -30.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.05%EV -14.68%E -4.14%K -5.76%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-12 19:05
Winamax (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 17.68%EV -19.24%E -3.93%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 58.92%EV -12.56%E -8.54%K -26.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.41%EV -11.08%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-12 19:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.