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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Sligo Rovers v St Patricks Athletic

Início: 2026-09-19 18:45 UTC

Final: Sligo Rovers 0–1 St Patricks Athletic

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sligo Rovers (Local)

Previsão 10.71%9.34odd justa
EV +7.11%
Vantagem +0.711%
Kelly +0.790%
Crescimento +0.056%

pressupondo odds máximas de 10.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.54%10.75%10.59%12.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
7.008.338.4510.0014.29%12.00%11.83%10.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St Patricks Athletic (Visitante)

Previsão 71.37%1.40odd justa
EV -5.08%
Vantagem -3.82%
Kelly -15.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.39%71.28%71.49%73.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.221.301.301.3381.97%76.95%76.92%75.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 17.92%5.58odd justa
EV +0.356%
Vantagem +0.064%
Kelly +0.077%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.12%17.96%17.92%20.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.354.965.005.6022.99%20.16%20.00%17.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Sligo Rovers (Local): 10.71%; St Patricks Athletic (Visitante): 71.37%; Empate: 17.92%. Para Sligo Rovers (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 9.34. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 10.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.11%.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV +7.11%E +0.711%K +0.790%G +0.056%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.28%EV -5.79%E -4.39%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -5.92%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 18:44
Pinnacle🎯9.87I 10.13%NM 9.71%EV +5.72%E +0.579%K +0.645%G +0.037%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.17%EV -6.51%E -4.97%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.12%EV +0.356%E +0.064%K +0.077%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 18:39
FanDuel🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV +1.76%E +0.185%K +0.207%G +0.004%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.66%EV -8.65%E -6.76%K -30.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -5.02%E -0.947%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 18:43
1xBet🎯9.44I 10.59%NM 9.90%EV +1.11%E +0.118%K +0.132%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.29%EV -5.08%E -3.82%K -15.40%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 19.81%EV -15.41%E -3.27%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 18:43
DraftKings🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -3.60%E -0.400%K -0.450%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.68%EV -6.51%E -4.97%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -5.92%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -3.60%E -0.400%K -0.450%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -7.94%E -6.15%K -27.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 18:44
Tipico (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -3.60%E -0.400%K -0.450%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.43%EV -9.36%E -7.37%K -34.68%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -5.02%E -0.947%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 18:39
Bet Right🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -3.60%E -0.400%K -0.450%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.09%EV -7.94%E -6.15%K -27.36%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -12.19%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 18:44
Paddy Power🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -3.60%E -0.400%K -0.450%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -10.79%E -8.63%K -43.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 18:39
Marathon Bet🎯8.80I 11.36%NM 10.57%EV -5.74%E -0.652%K -0.736%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.54%EV -7.22%E -5.55%K -24.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.89%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 18:39
Unibet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -8.96%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -5.08%E -3.82%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 18:19
Grosvenor🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -8.96%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -5.08%E -3.82%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 18:19
Casumo🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -8.96%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -5.08%E -3.82%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 18:19
Unibet (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -8.96%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -5.08%E -3.82%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 18:19
Unibet (NL)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -8.96%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -5.08%E -3.82%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 18:19
betPARX🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -8.96%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -5.08%E -3.82%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -8.96%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -5.08%E -3.82%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 18:19
Svenska Spel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -8.96%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -5.08%E -3.82%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 18:20
TABtouch🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -8.96%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -5.08%E -3.82%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 18:19
Bovada🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -8.96%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.35%EV -6.51%E -4.97%K -20.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -12.19%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 18:41
William Hill🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -8.96%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -7.22%E -5.55%K -24.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 18:40
PlayUp🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -8.96%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.39%EV -5.08%E -3.82%K -15.40%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.91%EV -22.04%E -5.07%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-19 18:39
betfred_uk🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -8.96%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.82%EV -7.94%E -6.15%K -27.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -17.56%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 18:44
Betsson🎯8.40I 11.90%NM 10.92%EV -10.03%E -1.19%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.55%EV -7.22%E -5.55%K -24.07%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.53%EV -11.29%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 18:39
NordicBet🎯8.40I 11.90%NM 10.92%EV -10.03%E -1.19%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.55%EV -7.22%E -5.55%K -24.07%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.53%EV -11.29%E -2.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 18:39
SportsBet🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 10.61%EV -11.63%E -1.41%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 71.16%EV -12.22%E -9.93%K -53.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.23%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-19 18:44
LowVig.ag🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.32%EV -12.17%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.84%EV -6.51%E -4.97%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-19 18:44
BetOnline.ag🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.32%EV -12.17%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.84%EV -6.51%E -4.97%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-19 18:44
BetUS🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.32%EV -12.17%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.84%EV -6.51%E -4.97%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-19 18:44
BetAnything🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.32%EV -12.17%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.84%EV -6.51%E -4.97%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -6.81%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-19 18:44
Betway🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -14.31%E -1.79%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -7.22%E -5.55%K -24.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.92%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 18:44
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.23%EV -14.31%E -1.79%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.65%EV -7.94%E -6.15%K -27.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -15.77%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.23%EV -14.31%E -1.79%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.65%EV -7.94%E -6.15%K -27.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -15.77%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 18:19
BetRivers🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.23%EV -14.31%E -1.79%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.65%EV -7.94%E -6.15%K -27.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -15.77%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.17%EV -14.31%E -1.79%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.82%EV -8.65%E -6.76%K -30.89%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.01%EV -15.77%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-19 18:19
Sky Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.03%EV -14.31%E -1.79%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -10.79%E -8.63%K -43.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-19 18:44
BetMGM🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 11.94%EV -16.99%E -2.19%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -5.08%E -3.82%K -15.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -10.40%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-19 18:39
Winamax (DE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -19.67%E -2.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.65%EV -7.94%E -6.15%K -27.36%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.20%EV -5.02%E -0.947%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 18:40
LeoVegas🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -19.67%E -2.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -7.22%E -5.55%K -24.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -12.19%E -2.49%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 18:44
Coral🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.67%E -2.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.22%E -5.55%K -24.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.67%E -2.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.22%E -5.55%K -24.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 18:44
Neds🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -19.67%E -2.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -7.22%E -5.55%K -24.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 18:44
PMU (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.47%EV -19.67%E -2.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 69.40%EV -11.50%E -9.28%K -47.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -19.36%E -4.30%K -5.53%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-19 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 11.62%EV -21.81%E -2.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 69.53%EV -12.93%E -10.60%K -58.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.85%EV -19.36%E -4.30%K -5.53%G +0.000%17.9%2026-09-19 18:39
Winamax (FR)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.37%EV -22.34%E -3.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.05%EV -8.65%E -6.76%K -30.89%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.58%EV -8.60%E -1.69%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -25.02%E -3.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -7.22%E -5.55%K -24.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -13.98%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 18:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.13%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%0.7%2026-09-19 18:40
Matchbook◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.13%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%0.7%2026-09-19 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.82%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.76%1.1%2026-09-19 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.82%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.76%1.1%2026-09-19 18:40