Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sligo Rovers v Shelbourne Dublin

Kickoff: 2026-06-27 18:45 UTC

Final: Sligo Rovers 2–2 Shelbourne Dublin

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sligo Rovers (Local)

Prediction 21.29%4.70fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -0.781%
Kelly -1.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.40%21.26%21.28%22.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.334.354.5325.32%23.07%22.99%22.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shelbourne Dublin (Visit)

Prediction 52.80%1.89fair odd
EV -3.90%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -4.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.12%52.82%52.78%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.741.741.8260.24%57.59%57.47%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.90%3.86fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -0.763%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.34%25.92%25.94%27.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.493.503.7532.26%28.67%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sligo Rovers (Local): 21.29%; Shelbourne Dublin (Visit): 52.80%; Draw: 25.90%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -2.86%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯4.53I 22.08%NM 21.17%EV -3.54%E -0.781%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.70%EV -3.90%E -2.14%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.13%EV -4.93%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-27 18:40
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -6.01%E -3.38%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.86%E -0.763%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 18:08
FanDuel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.12%E -4.67%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.75%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-27 18:29
LeoVegas🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -7.60%E -4.34%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.04%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-27 17:49
Unibet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.12%E -4.67%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.12%E -4.67%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 17:49
Grosvenor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.12%E -4.67%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.12%E -4.67%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 17:49
Casumo🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.12%E -4.67%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 17:50
TABtouch🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.12%E -4.67%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 17:49
betPARX🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.12%E -4.67%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 17:49
ATG (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.12%E -4.67%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 17:49
Svenska Spel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.12%E -4.67%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 17:50
BetRivers🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -8.65%E -5.00%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-27 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -9.18%E -5.34%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-27 18:19
1xBet🎯4.44I 22.52%NM 21.06%EV -5.45%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -6.54%E -3.69%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.12%EV -7.27%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 18:40
DraftKings🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -4.96%E -2.75%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -5.45%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-27 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.01%E -3.38%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -6.75%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 18:29
BetOnline.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.01%E -3.38%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -6.75%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.07%EV -9.71%E -5.68%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.63%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-27 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -7.37%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.95%EV -7.60%E -4.34%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.75%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-27 18:30
Betsson🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -7.37%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.76%EV -7.60%E -4.34%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.04%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 18:30
NordicBet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -7.37%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.76%EV -7.60%E -4.34%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.04%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 18:29
LiveScore Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -7.37%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -10.24%E -6.02%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -10.63%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-27 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -7.37%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -10.24%E -6.02%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -10.63%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-27 17:50
Everygame🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -7.80%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%EV -8.65%E -5.00%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.63%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-27 18:30
BetMGM🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -7.80%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.26%EV -8.12%E -4.67%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-27 18:19
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -7.80%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -10.24%E -6.02%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-27 18:20
BetAnything🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -8.43%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.79%EV -4.43%E -2.45%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.04%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -8.43%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -6.01%E -3.38%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.75%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-27 18:40
Bovada🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -8.43%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -7.07%E -4.02%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-27 18:28
BetUS🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -8.43%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -7.07%E -4.02%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-27 18:29
PlayUp🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -8.43%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -9.18%E -5.34%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-27 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -9.50%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -8.12%E -4.67%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.75%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 18:10
Bet Right🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -9.50%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.64%EV -8.12%E -4.67%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -8.04%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-27 18:10
PMU (FR)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 20.71%EV -9.50%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.02%EV -12.35%E -7.44%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -13.22%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%13.6%2026-06-20 19:09
Betway🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -10.56%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.60%E -4.34%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.75%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-27 18:29
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -10.56%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -7.60%E -4.34%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-27 18:30
betfred_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.56%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -10.24%E -6.02%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-27 18:07
Neds🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.56%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.65%E -5.00%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.52%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.56%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.65%E -5.00%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.52%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.56%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.65%E -5.00%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.52%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 18:19
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.56%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.65%E -5.00%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.52%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 18:19
Sky Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -10.56%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -10.24%E -6.02%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-27 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.42%EV -8.12%E -4.67%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -6.75%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-27 18:29
Unibet (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.52%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.52%EV -11.29%E -6.72%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-27 18:30
SportsBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.22%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.41%EV -12.35%E -7.44%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -14.52%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%14.9%2026-06-27 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -14.82%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.12%EV -11.82%E -7.08%K -17.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -19.70%E -6.35%K -9.38%G +0.000%17.1%2026-06-27 18:09
Winamax (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.24%EV -15.89%E -4.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.29%EV -11.29%E -6.72%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -10.63%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-27 18:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-06-27 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-06-27 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-06-27 18:40
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-06-27 18:30