La escuela de los momios

Sligo Rovers v Shelbourne Dublin

Inicio: 2026-06-27 18:45 UTC

Final: Sligo Rovers 2–2 Shelbourne Dublin

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sligo Rovers (Local)

Predicción 21.29%4.70momio equitativo
EV -3.54%
Ventaja -0.781%
Kelly -1.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.40%21.26%21.28%22.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.954.334.354.5325.32%23.07%22.99%22.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shelbourne Dublin (Visitante)

Predicción 52.80%1.89momio equitativo
EV -3.90%
Ventaja -2.14%
Kelly -4.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.12%52.82%52.78%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.741.741.8260.24%57.59%57.47%54.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.90%3.86momio equitativo
EV -2.86%
Ventaja -0.763%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.34%25.92%25.94%27.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.493.503.7532.26%28.67%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle4.53I 22.08%NM 21.17%EV -3.54%E -0.781%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.70%EV -3.90%E -2.14%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.13%EV -4.93%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-27 18:40
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -6.01%E -3.38%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.86%E -0.763%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 18:08
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.12%E -4.67%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.75%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-27 18:29
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -7.60%E -4.34%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.04%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-27 17:49
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.12%E -4.67%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 17:50
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.12%E -4.67%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 17:49
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.12%E -4.67%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 17:50
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.12%E -4.67%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 17:49
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.12%E -4.67%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 17:50
TABtouch4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.12%E -4.67%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 17:49
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.12%E -4.67%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 17:49
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.12%E -4.67%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 17:49
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -8.12%E -4.67%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 17:50
BetRivers4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -8.65%E -5.00%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-27 17:50
Tipico (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -9.18%E -5.34%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-27 18:19
1xBet4.44I 22.52%NM 21.06%EV -5.45%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -6.54%E -3.69%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.12%EV -7.27%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 18:40
DraftKings4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -4.96%E -2.75%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -5.45%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-27 18:30
LowVig.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.01%E -3.38%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -6.75%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 18:29
BetOnline.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.01%E -3.38%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -6.75%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -6.30%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.07%EV -9.71%E -5.68%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.63%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-27 17:50
Unibet (UK)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -7.37%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.95%EV -7.60%E -4.34%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.75%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-27 18:30
Betsson4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -7.37%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.76%EV -7.60%E -4.34%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.04%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 18:30
NordicBet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -7.37%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.76%EV -7.60%E -4.34%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.04%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-27 18:29
LiveScore Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -7.37%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -10.24%E -6.02%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -10.63%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-27 17:50
Virgin Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -7.37%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -10.24%E -6.02%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -10.63%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-27 17:50
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -7.80%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%EV -8.65%E -5.00%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.63%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-27 18:30
BetMGM4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -7.80%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.26%EV -8.12%E -4.67%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-27 18:19
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -7.80%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -10.24%E -6.02%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-27 18:20
BetAnything4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -8.43%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.79%EV -4.43%E -2.45%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.04%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 18:40
Marathon Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -8.43%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -6.01%E -3.38%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.75%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-27 18:40
Bovada4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -8.43%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -7.07%E -4.02%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-27 18:28
BetUS4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -8.43%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -7.07%E -4.02%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-27 18:29
PlayUp4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -8.43%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -9.18%E -5.34%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-27 18:20
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -9.50%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -8.12%E -4.67%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.75%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 18:10
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -9.50%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.64%EV -8.12%E -4.67%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -8.04%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-27 18:10
PMU (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 20.71%EV -9.50%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.02%EV -12.35%E -7.44%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -13.22%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%13.6%2026-06-20 19:09
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -10.56%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.60%E -4.34%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.75%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-27 18:29
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -10.56%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -7.60%E -4.34%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-27 18:30
betfred_uk4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.56%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -10.24%E -6.02%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-27 18:07
Neds4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.56%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.65%E -5.00%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.52%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.56%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.65%E -5.00%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.52%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.56%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.65%E -5.00%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.52%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 18:19
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -10.56%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.65%E -5.00%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.52%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 18:19
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -10.56%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -10.24%E -6.02%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-27 18:30
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.42%EV -8.12%E -4.67%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -6.75%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-27 18:29
Unibet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.52%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.52%EV -11.29%E -6.72%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -11.93%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-27 18:30
SportsBet4.10I 24.39%NM 21.22%EV -12.69%E -3.10%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.41%EV -12.35%E -7.44%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -14.52%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%14.9%2026-06-27 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -14.82%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.12%EV -11.82%E -7.08%K -17.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -19.70%E -6.35%K -9.38%G +0.000%17.1%2026-06-27 18:09
Winamax (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.24%EV -15.89%E -4.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.29%EV -11.29%E -6.72%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -10.63%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-27 18:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-06-27 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-06-27 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-06-27 18:40
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-06-27 18:30