Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.78
assuming max odds 1.80
assuming max odds 3.61
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sligo Rovers (Local): 20.36%; Shelbourne Dublin (Visit): 52.96%; Draw: 26.68%. For Sligo Rovers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.78, with an expected value of -2.70%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.08%EV -2.70%E -0.565%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.33%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.59%EV -3.68%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 19:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.56%EV -2.70%E -0.565%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.11%EV -6.78%E -3.85%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.33%EV -8.75%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 19:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -3.31%E -0.697%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.50%EV -5.72%E -3.22%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 19:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -4.33%E -0.921%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.39%EV -5.72%E -3.22%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.40%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 19:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -4.33%E -0.921%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.39%EV -5.72%E -3.22%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.40%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 19:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -4.33%E -0.921%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.02%EV -6.78%E -3.85%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.13%EV -8.22%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 19:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -4.33%E -0.921%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.42%EV -8.90%E -5.18%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 19:13 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.29%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 13:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -7.84%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 13:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -8.40%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -5.72%E -3.22%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 19:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -8.40%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -7.84%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 19:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -8.40%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -7.84%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 19:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -8.40%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -7.84%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 19:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.40%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -8.40%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -7.84%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 19:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -8.40%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.81%EV -10.49%E -6.21%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 18:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.69%EV -9.42%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.62%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 19:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.69%EV -9.42%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.62%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 19:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -10.44%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -8.37%E -4.84%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 19:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -10.44%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 19:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -10.44%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -9.96%E -5.86%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -11.86%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 19:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.74%EV -11.86%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -9.96%E -5.86%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.74%EV -11.86%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -9.96%E -5.86%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.74%EV -11.86%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -9.96%E -5.86%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.74%EV -11.86%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -9.96%E -5.86%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 18:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -12.47%E -2.90%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.62%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-21 19:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 18:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 18:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 18:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 18:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 18:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 18:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 18:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.35%EV -5.72%E -3.22%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 07:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -7.84%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 19:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -9.96%E -5.86%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-21 13:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.17%EV -11.02%E -6.56%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -13.29%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-21 19:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.68%EV -12.08%E -7.28%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-21 13:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.74%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.47%EV -12.08%E -7.28%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.80%EV -13.29%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-21 19:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.35%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.17%EV -11.55%E -6.92%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.48%EV -19.96%E -6.65%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-03-20 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.16%EV -6.78%E -3.85%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -10.62%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-17 07:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.16%EV -6.78%E -3.85%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -10.62%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-17 07:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -18.58%E -4.64%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.75%EV -9.96%E -5.86%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -10.62%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-21 19:14 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.35% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.62% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.03% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.35% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.62% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.03% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.35% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.62% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.03% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 19:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.35% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.62% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.03% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 19:35 |