La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Sligo Rovers v Shelbourne Dublin
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sligo Rovers (Local)
Predicción 20.36%4.91momio equitativo
EV -2.70%
Ventaja -0.565%
Kelly -0.715%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.55%20.53%20.27%21.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.374.334.7825.00%22.89%23.09%20.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Shelbourne Dublin (Visitante)
Predicción 52.96%1.89momio equitativo
EV -4.67%
Ventaja -2.59%
Kelly -5.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.07%52.81%53.11%53.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.751.751.8060.24%57.16%57.14%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.68%3.75momio equitativo
EV -3.68%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.98%26.66%26.62%28.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.413.403.6133.33%29.34%29.41%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.08%EV -2.70%E -0.565%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.33%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.59%EV -3.68%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 19:35 |
| 1xBet | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.56%EV -2.70%E -0.565%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.11%EV -6.78%E -3.85%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.33%EV -8.75%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 19:24 |
| Coolbet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -3.31%E -0.697%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.50%EV -5.72%E -3.22%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 19:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -4.33%E -0.921%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.39%EV -5.72%E -3.22%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.40%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 19:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -4.33%E -0.921%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.39%EV -5.72%E -3.22%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.40%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 19:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -4.33%E -0.921%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.02%EV -6.78%E -3.85%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.13%EV -8.22%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 19:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -4.33%E -0.921%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.42%EV -8.90%E -5.18%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 19:13 |
| DraftKings | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.29%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 13:24 |
| FanDuel | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -6.36%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -7.84%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 13:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -8.40%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -5.72%E -3.22%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 19:14 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -8.40%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -7.84%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 19:18 |
| BetUS | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -8.40%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -7.84%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 19:14 |
| BetAnything | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -8.40%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -7.84%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 19:14 |
| Bet Right | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.40%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -8.40%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -7.84%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 19:40 |
| BetMGM | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -8.40%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.81%EV -10.49%E -6.21%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 18:14 |
| NordicBet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.69%EV -9.42%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.62%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 19:14 |
| Betsson | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.69%EV -9.42%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.62%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.95%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 19:14 |
| Everygame | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -10.44%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -8.37%E -4.84%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 19:24 |
| William Hill | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -10.44%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 19:09 |
| Paddy Power | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -10.44%E -2.37%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -9.96%E -5.86%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-21 16:49 |
| Betway | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -11.86%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 19:14 |
| Neds | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.74%EV -11.86%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -9.96%E -5.86%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.74%EV -11.86%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -9.96%E -5.86%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 18:15 |
| Coral | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.74%EV -11.86%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -9.96%E -5.86%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.74%EV -11.86%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -9.96%E -5.86%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 18:15 |
| PlayUp | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -12.47%E -2.90%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.62%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-21 19:40 |
| Grosvenor | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 18:50 |
| Unibet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 18:50 |
| Casumo | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 18:50 |
| LeoVegas | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 18:50 |
| TABtouch | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 18:50 |
| BetRivers | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 18:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 18:49 |
| betPARX | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 18:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.35%EV -5.72%E -3.22%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 07:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -7.84%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 19:14 |
| Sky Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -9.96%E -5.86%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-21 13:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.17%EV -11.02%E -6.56%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -13.29%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-21 19:20 |
| SportsBet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.68%EV -12.08%E -7.28%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -11.95%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-21 13:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.74%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.47%EV -12.08%E -7.28%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.80%EV -13.29%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-21 19:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.35%EV -14.51%E -3.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.17%EV -11.55%E -6.92%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.48%EV -19.96%E -6.65%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-03-20 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.16%EV -6.78%E -3.85%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -10.62%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-17 07:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -16.54%E -4.03%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.16%EV -6.78%E -3.85%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -10.62%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-17 07:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -18.58%E -4.64%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.75%EV -9.96%E -5.86%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -10.62%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-21 19:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.35% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.62% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.03% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.35% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.62% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.03% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.35% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.62% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.03% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 19:15 |
| Matchbook | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.35% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.62% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.03% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 19:35 |