Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sligo Rovers v Shamrock Rovers

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sligo Rovers (Local)

Prediction 17.46%5.73fair odd
EV +3.02%
Edge +0.511%
Kelly +0.616%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 5.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.74%17.50%17.43%19.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.175.155.9021.74%19.34%19.42%16.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shamrock Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 57.39%1.74fair odd
EV -4.74%
Edge -2.85%
Kelly -7.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.51%57.31%57.43%59.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.611.621.6666.67%62.26%61.92%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.15%3.98fair odd
EV -3.17%
Edge -0.822%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.53%25.19%25.14%26.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.623.603.8530.30%27.65%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sligo Rovers (Local): 17.46%; Shamrock Rovers (Visit): 57.39%; Draw: 25.15%. For Sligo Rovers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.73. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.02%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.74%EV +3.02%E +0.511%K +0.616%G +0.019%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.16%EV -9.90%E -6.31%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 19:53
1xBet🎯5.88I 17.01%NM 15.94%EV +2.67%E +0.454%K +0.546%G +0.015%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.14%EV -5.88%E -3.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.93%EV -12.47%E -3.58%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 19:49
LowVig.ag🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.73%EV +0.397%E +0.069%K +0.084%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.95%EV -4.74%E -2.85%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.32%EV -4.42%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 19:35
BetOnline.ag🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.73%EV +0.397%E +0.069%K +0.084%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.95%EV -4.74%E -2.85%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.32%EV -4.42%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 19:35
Pinnacle🎯5.72I 17.48%NM 16.78%EV -0.127%E -0.022%K -0.027%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.16%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.06%EV -3.67%E -0.958%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 19:30
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -3.97%E -0.721%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.85%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.17%E -0.822%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 19:29
DraftKings🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.97%E -0.721%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -7.03%E -4.34%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -3.17%E -0.822%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 19:05
Marathon Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.97%E -0.721%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.80%EV -7.61%E -4.72%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.29%EV -7.44%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 19:55
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -3.97%E -0.721%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -7.03%E -4.34%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 19:50
Tipico (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -3.97%E -0.721%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -9.90%E -6.31%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:30
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -3.97%E -0.721%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -12.20%E -7.97%K -23.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.45%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-13 19:55
Bovada🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -5.71%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -8.18%E -5.11%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.45%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:54
BetUS🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -5.71%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -8.18%E -5.11%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.45%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:49
BetAnything🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -5.71%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -8.18%E -5.11%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.45%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:50
Unibet (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -8.33%E -1.59%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.45%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 19:25
Bet Right🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -8.33%E -1.59%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.22%EV -7.61%E -4.72%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -8.20%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:35
BetMGM🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.33%E -1.59%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.02%EV -7.61%E -4.72%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.45%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -8.33%E -1.59%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.18%E -5.11%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 19:40
Neds🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -8.33%E -1.59%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.18%E -5.11%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -8.33%E -1.59%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.18%E -5.11%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 19:40
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -8.33%E -1.59%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.18%E -5.11%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 19:39
Everygame🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.23%EV -8.33%E -1.59%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.63%EV -9.90%E -6.31%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -9.45%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-13 19:10
Sky Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.86%EV -8.33%E -1.59%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.85%EV -12.20%E -7.97%K -23.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.29%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-13 19:55
Betsson🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 17.83%EV -10.08%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.67%EV -7.03%E -4.34%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.45%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:25
NordicBet🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 17.83%EV -10.08%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.67%EV -7.03%E -4.34%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.45%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -12.70%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -7.61%E -4.72%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 19:35
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -12.70%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-13 19:54
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -12.70%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.47%EV -8.18%E -5.11%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -10.71%E -3.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-13 19:00
SportsBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.23%EV -12.70%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -13.92%E -9.28%K -27.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.34%EV -14.48%E -4.26%K -6.03%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-13 19:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.10%EV -12.70%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 56.99%EV -13.92%E -9.28%K -27.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.91%EV -17.00%E -5.15%K -7.39%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-13 19:55
Unibet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -14.44%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.40%EV -6.46%E -3.96%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:05
BetRivers🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -14.44%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.40%EV -6.46%E -3.96%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:04
Grosvenor🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -14.44%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.40%EV -6.46%E -3.96%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:05
LeoVegas🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -14.44%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.40%EV -6.46%E -3.96%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:05
Unibet (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -14.44%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.40%EV -6.46%E -3.96%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:05
Casumo🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -14.44%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.40%EV -6.46%E -3.96%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:05
TABtouch🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -14.44%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.40%EV -6.46%E -3.96%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:04
Unibet (NL)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -14.44%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.40%EV -6.46%E -3.96%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:05
ATG (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -14.44%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.40%EV -6.46%E -3.96%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:05
Svenska Spel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -14.44%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.40%EV -6.46%E -3.96%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:05
betPARX🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -14.44%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.40%EV -6.46%E -3.96%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -14.44%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.36%EV -7.03%E -4.34%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -8.20%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 19:04
Winamax (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -14.44%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.36%EV -7.03%E -4.34%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -8.20%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 19:25
LiveScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -16.19%E -3.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -8.18%E -5.11%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.45%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 19:05
Virgin Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -16.19%E -3.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -8.18%E -5.11%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.45%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 19:04
Unibet (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.13%EV -16.19%E -3.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 56.13%EV -11.05%E -7.13%K -20.09%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.74%EV -14.99%E -4.43%K -6.30%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-13 19:50
Parions Sport (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.08%EV -16.19%E -3.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 56.00%EV -11.05%E -7.13%K -20.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.91%EV -15.74%E -4.70%K -6.70%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-13 19:35
Winamax (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -19.68%E -4.28%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.71%EV -9.33%E -5.90%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.15%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-13 19:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.44%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%1.2%2026-03-13 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.87%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-03-13 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.87%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-03-13 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.87%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-03-13 19:25