L’École des cotes

Sligo Rovers v Shamrock Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-13 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sligo Rovers (Local)

Prévision 17.46%5.73cote équitable
EV +3.02%
Avantage +0.511%
Kelly +0.616%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 5.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.74%17.50%17.43%19.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.605.175.155.9021.74%19.34%19.42%16.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shamrock Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.39%1.74cote équitable
EV -4.74%
Avantage -2.85%
Kelly -7.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.51%57.31%57.43%59.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.611.621.6666.67%62.26%61.92%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.15%3.98cote équitable
EV -3.17%
Avantage -0.822%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.53%25.19%25.14%26.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.623.603.8530.30%27.65%27.78%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel5.90I 16.95%NM 15.74%EV +3.02%E +0.511%K +0.616%G +0.019%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.16%EV -9.90%E -6.31%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 19:53
1xBet5.88I 17.01%NM 15.94%EV +2.67%E +0.454%K +0.546%G +0.015%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.14%EV -5.88%E -3.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.93%EV -12.47%E -3.58%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 19:49
LowVig.ag5.75I 17.39%NM 16.73%EV +0.397%E +0.069%K +0.084%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.95%EV -4.74%E -2.85%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.32%EV -4.42%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 19:35
BetOnline.ag5.75I 17.39%NM 16.73%EV +0.397%E +0.069%K +0.084%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.95%EV -4.74%E -2.85%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.32%EV -4.42%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 19:35
Pinnacle5.72I 17.48%NM 16.78%EV -0.127%E -0.022%K -0.027%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.16%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.06%EV -3.67%E -0.958%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 19:30
Coolbet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -3.97%E -0.721%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.85%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.17%E -0.822%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 19:29
DraftKings5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.97%E -0.721%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -7.03%E -4.34%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -3.17%E -0.822%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 19:05
Marathon Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.97%E -0.721%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.80%EV -7.61%E -4.72%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.29%EV -7.44%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 19:55
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -3.97%E -0.721%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -7.03%E -4.34%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 19:50
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -3.97%E -0.721%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -9.90%E -6.31%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:30
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -3.97%E -0.721%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -12.20%E -7.97%K -23.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.45%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-13 19:55
Bovada5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -5.71%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -8.18%E -5.11%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.45%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:54
BetUS5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -5.71%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -8.18%E -5.11%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.45%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:49
BetAnything5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -5.71%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -8.18%E -5.11%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.45%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:50
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -8.33%E -1.59%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.45%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 19:25
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -8.33%E -1.59%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.22%EV -7.61%E -4.72%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -8.20%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:35
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -8.33%E -1.59%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.02%EV -7.61%E -4.72%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.45%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -8.33%E -1.59%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.18%E -5.11%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 19:40
Neds5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -8.33%E -1.59%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.18%E -5.11%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -8.33%E -1.59%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.18%E -5.11%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 19:40
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -8.33%E -1.59%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.18%E -5.11%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 19:39
Everygame5.25I 19.05%NM 17.23%EV -8.33%E -1.59%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.63%EV -9.90%E -6.31%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -9.45%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-13 19:10
Sky Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 16.86%EV -8.33%E -1.59%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.85%EV -12.20%E -7.97%K -23.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.29%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-13 19:55
Betsson5.15I 19.42%NM 17.83%EV -10.08%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.67%EV -7.03%E -4.34%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.45%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:25
NordicBet5.15I 19.42%NM 17.83%EV -10.08%E -1.96%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.67%EV -7.03%E -4.34%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.45%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:24
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -12.70%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -7.61%E -4.72%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 19:35
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -12.70%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-13 19:54
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -12.70%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.47%EV -8.18%E -5.11%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -10.71%E -3.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-13 19:00
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.23%EV -12.70%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -13.92%E -9.28%K -27.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.34%EV -14.48%E -4.26%K -6.03%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-13 19:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.10%EV -12.70%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 56.99%EV -13.92%E -9.28%K -27.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.91%EV -17.00%E -5.15%K -7.39%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-13 19:55
Unibet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -14.44%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.40%EV -6.46%E -3.96%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:05
BetRivers4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -14.44%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.40%EV -6.46%E -3.96%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:04
Grosvenor4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -14.44%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.40%EV -6.46%E -3.96%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:05
LeoVegas4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -14.44%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.40%EV -6.46%E -3.96%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:05
Unibet (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -14.44%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.40%EV -6.46%E -3.96%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:05
Casumo4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -14.44%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.40%EV -6.46%E -3.96%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:05
TABtouch4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -14.44%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.40%EV -6.46%E -3.96%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:04
Unibet (NL)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -14.44%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.40%EV -6.46%E -3.96%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:05
ATG (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -14.44%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.40%EV -6.46%E -3.96%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:05
Svenska Spel4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -14.44%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.40%EV -6.46%E -3.96%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:05
betPARX4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -14.44%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.40%EV -6.46%E -3.96%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -14.44%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.36%EV -7.03%E -4.34%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -8.20%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 19:04
Winamax (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -14.44%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.36%EV -7.03%E -4.34%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -8.20%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 19:25
LiveScore Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -16.19%E -3.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -8.18%E -5.11%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.45%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 19:05
Virgin Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -16.19%E -3.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -8.18%E -5.11%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.45%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 19:04
Unibet (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.13%EV -16.19%E -3.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 56.13%EV -11.05%E -7.13%K -20.09%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.74%EV -14.99%E -4.43%K -6.30%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-13 19:50
Parions Sport (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.08%EV -16.19%E -3.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 56.00%EV -11.05%E -7.13%K -20.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.91%EV -15.74%E -4.70%K -6.70%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-13 19:35
Winamax (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -19.68%E -4.28%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.71%EV -9.33%E -5.90%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.15%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-13 19:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.44%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%1.2%2026-03-13 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.87%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-03-13 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.87%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-03-13 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.87%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-03-13 19:25