The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Sligo Rovers v Galway United

2026-09-14 18:45 UTC — League of Ireland

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sligo Rovers (Local)

Prediction 31.34%3.19fair odd
EV -6.92%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -3.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.11%31.34%31.34%31.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.872.952.9737.04%34.80%33.90%33.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Galway United (Visit)

Prediction 41.12%2.43fair odd
EV -6.25%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -4.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.73%41.12%41.12%41.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.212.242.2848.78%45.27%44.74%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.54%3.63fair odd
EV -6.36%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -2.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.22%27.54%27.54%27.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.323.383.4032.26%30.12%29.63%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sligo Rovers (Local): 31.34%; Galway United (Visit): 41.12%; Draw: 27.54%. For Galway United (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.28, with an expected value of -6.25%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.31%EV -6.92%E -2.33%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -7.48%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 19:20
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -7.55%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.25%E -2.74%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 18:55
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -7.55%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.25%E -2.74%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -7.55%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.25%E -2.74%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 18:55
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -7.55%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.25%E -2.74%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -7.55%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.25%E -2.74%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 18:55
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -7.55%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.25%E -2.74%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -7.55%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.25%E -2.74%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 18:55
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -7.55%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.25%E -2.74%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -7.55%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.25%E -2.74%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.36%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 18:55
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16%EV -7.55%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.40%EV -8.71%E -3.93%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.74%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 18:55
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16%EV -7.55%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.40%EV -8.71%E -3.93%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.74%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 18:55
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -10.68%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.84%EV -9.54%E -4.33%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-07 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -12.25%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.76%EV -10.77%E -4.96%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -11.87%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-07 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.94%EV -13.81%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -13.65%E -6.50%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%EV -7.74%E -2.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-07 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -13.81%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -11.59%E -5.39%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -11.87%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-07 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -13.81%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -11.59%E -5.39%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -11.87%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-07 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -13.81%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.73%EV -15.70%E -7.66%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.16%EV -13.25%E -4.21%K -6.16%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-07 18:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.77%EV -15.38%E -5.70%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.84%EV -15.70%E -7.66%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.39%EV -10.49%E -3.23%K -4.66%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-07 18:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -15.38%E -5.70%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.73%EV -13.65%E -6.50%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -14.63%E -4.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-07 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.