Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sligo Rovers v Galway United

Início: 2026-09-14 18:45 UTC

Final: Sligo Rovers 1–3 Galway United

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sligo Rovers (Local)

Previsão 26.11%3.83odd justa
EV +1.85%
Vantagem +0.473%
Kelly +0.637%
Crescimento +0.012%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.55%26.11%26.19%28.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.473.453.9031.75%28.81%28.99%25.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Galway United (Visitante)

Previsão 48.14%2.08odd justa
EV -1.30%
Vantagem -0.636%
Kelly -1.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.95%48.00%48.12%50.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.811.941.932.0555.25%51.64%51.81%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.74%3.88odd justa
EV -3.47%
Vantagem -0.926%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.03%25.90%25.69%27.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.483.503.7532.26%28.75%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Sligo Rovers (Local): 26.11%; Galway United (Visitante): 48.14%; Empate: 25.74%. Para Sligo Rovers (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.83. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.90, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.85%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV +1.85%E +0.473%K +0.637%G +0.012%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -11.90%E -6.50%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-14 18:30
Pinnacle🎯3.82I 26.18%NM 25.15%EV -0.243%E -0.064%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.02%EV -5.64%E -2.88%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.83%EV -4.24%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 18:30
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -0.765%E -0.201%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -8.04%E -4.21%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 18:04
LowVig.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -3.38%E -0.913%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.42%EV -7.08%E -3.67%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 18:41
BetUS🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -3.38%E -0.913%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.42%EV -7.08%E -3.67%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 25.57%EV -4.94%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.72%EV -8.04%E -4.21%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.71%EV -6.82%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 18:39
1xBet🎯3.61I 27.70%NM 25.90%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -8.04%E -4.21%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.14%EV -4.24%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 18:39
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -6.12%E -3.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.47%E -0.926%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -3.71%E -1.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 18:41
BetAnything🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -3.71%E -1.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 18:41
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.97%E -5.33%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 18:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.97%E -5.33%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -7.08%E -3.67%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 17:50
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.04%E -4.21%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 18:39
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.04%E -4.21%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 18:15
NordicBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -7.56%E -3.94%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 17:50
Betsson🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -7.56%E -3.94%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 17:50
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -9.01%E -4.77%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-14 17:54
PlayUp🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.04%E -4.21%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-14 18:35
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.93%E -5.91%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-14 18:05
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.04%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.41%EV -12.86%E -7.10%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -15.06%E -4.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-14 18:05
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -9.91%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -1.30%E -0.636%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 18:41
Grosvenor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -9.91%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -1.30%E -0.636%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 18:41
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -9.91%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -1.30%E -0.636%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 18:41
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -9.91%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -1.30%E -0.636%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -9.91%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -1.30%E -0.636%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 18:41
TABtouch🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -9.91%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -1.30%E -0.636%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 18:41
Svenska Spel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -9.91%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -1.30%E -0.636%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 18:41
betPARX🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -9.91%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -1.30%E -0.636%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 18:41
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -9.91%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -1.30%E -0.636%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 18:41
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -8.52%E -4.49%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -6.05%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-14 17:50
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -6.12%E -3.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-14 18:15
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.84%EV -9.49%E -5.05%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-14 18:35
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.93%E -5.91%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-14 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.93%E -5.91%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-14 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.93%E -5.91%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-14 17:55
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.93%E -5.91%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-14 17:55
Bet Right🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -12.52%E -3.74%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -6.12%E -3.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-14 18:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -12.52%E -3.74%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.10%EV -10.45%E -5.62%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.20%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-14 17:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -13.82%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.12%E -3.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-14 18:05
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -13.82%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.06%EV -12.86%E -7.10%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.58%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-14 18:16
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -15.13%E -4.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -6.12%E -3.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 18:06
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -15.13%E -4.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.20%EV -5.15%E -2.62%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -16.34%E -5.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-14 18:41
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -15.13%E -4.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.20%EV -5.15%E -2.62%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -16.34%E -5.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-14 18:41
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%EV -15.13%E -4.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.39%EV -6.60%E -3.40%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -17.63%E -5.51%K -8.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-14 18:40
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -17.74%E -5.63%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.95%EV -1.78%E -0.875%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -16.34%E -5.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 10:35
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.09%EV -17.74%E -5.63%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.39%EV -9.49%E -5.05%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -20.20%E -6.52%K -9.62%G +0.000%17.2%2026-09-14 18:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-09-14 18:41
Matchbook◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-09-14 18:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-09-14 18:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-09-14 18:26