Language:English
Sligo Rovers v Dundalk
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sligo Rovers (Local)
Prediction 25.85%3.87fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -0.815%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.88%25.86%25.89%27.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.543.553.7531.75%28.28%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dundalk (Visit)
Prediction 47.13%2.12fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -3.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.51%47.02%47.20%48.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.931.932.0554.95%51.81%51.81%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.02%3.70fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -0.761%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.18%27.11%26.91%28.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.353.353.6033.33%29.85%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sligo Rovers (Local): 25.85%; Dundalk (Visit): 47.13%; Draw: 27.02%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.70. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -2.74%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -3.06%E -0.815%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -6.68%E -3.37%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -2.74%E -0.761%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 23:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.35%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.79%EV -5.13%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.09%EV -5.27%E -2.62%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.12%EV -5.71%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-20 19:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -5.64%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -8.56%E -4.41%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-20 00:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -5.64%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -9.04%E -4.68%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -5.64%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -9.04%E -4.68%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -5.64%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -9.04%E -4.68%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 00:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -5.64%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -9.04%E -4.68%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 00:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -5.64%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -9.04%E -4.68%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 00:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -5.64%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -9.04%E -4.68%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 00:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -5.64%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -9.04%E -4.68%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 00:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -5.64%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -9.04%E -4.68%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 00:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -5.64%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -9.04%E -4.68%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 00:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -5.64%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -9.04%E -4.68%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 00:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.07%EV -6.21%E -3.12%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.91%EV -5.98%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-20 08:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.32%EV -7.15%E -3.63%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.79%EV -5.98%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-20 08:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.44%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 23:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.98%E -5.22%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-22 09:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.98%E -5.22%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-22 09:37 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.47%EV -9.51%E -4.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-20 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.23%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -4.79%E -2.37%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 14:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.23%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -4.79%E -2.37%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 14:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.23%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 13:12 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.23%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 13:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.23%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -8.56%E -4.41%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 23:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.23%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.50%EV -10.92%E -5.78%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-20 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.23%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.50%EV -10.92%E -5.78%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-20 00:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.74%EV -6.68%E -3.37%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -6.79%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-20 00:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.74%EV -6.68%E -3.37%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -6.79%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-20 00:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 10:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 23:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-20 08:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.98%E -5.22%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.98%E -5.22%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 21:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -12.81%E -6.92%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-18 21:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -12.81%E -6.92%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-22 18:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -10.81%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -3.38%E -1.65%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 10:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -10.81%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.50%EV -12.81%E -6.92%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -12.19%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-20 00:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.11%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-22 18:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.11%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.98%E -5.22%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.11%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.98%E -5.22%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.11%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.98%E -5.22%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.11%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.98%E -5.22%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 18:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -12.11%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.65%EV -10.45%E -5.50%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -12.19%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-23 12:43 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -12.11%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.55%EV -13.75%E -7.51%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.40%EV -18.95%E -6.32%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-04-18 21:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.90%EV -13.40%E -4.00%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.41%EV -13.75%E -7.51%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -12.19%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-23 18:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -14.69%E -4.45%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.85%EV -10.45%E -5.50%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-20 00:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.92%EV -18.57%E -5.89%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 46.59%EV -14.22%E -7.81%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.50%EV -13.55%E -4.23%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-04-20 00:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 37.95% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 21.89% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 40.16% | 141.7% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 37.95% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 21.89% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 40.16% | 141.7% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 31.98% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.51% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 34.51% | 186.9% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |