La escuela de los momios

Sligo Rovers v Dundalk

Inicio: 2026-04-25 18:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sligo Rovers (Local)

Predicción 25.85%3.87momio equitativo
EV -3.06%
Ventaja -0.815%
Kelly -1.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.88%25.86%25.89%27.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.543.553.7531.75%28.28%28.17%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dundalk (Visitante)

Predicción 47.13%2.12momio equitativo
EV -3.38%
Ventaja -1.65%
Kelly -3.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.51%47.02%47.20%48.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.821.931.932.0554.95%51.81%51.81%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.02%3.70momio equitativo
EV -2.74%
Ventaja -0.761%
Kelly -1.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.18%27.11%26.91%28.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.353.353.6033.33%29.85%29.85%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -3.06%E -0.815%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -6.68%E -3.37%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -2.74%E -0.761%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 23:20
Tipico (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.35%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 18:50
Pinnacle3.67I 27.25%NM 25.79%EV -5.13%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.09%EV -5.27%E -2.62%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.12%EV -5.71%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-20 19:20
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -5.64%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -8.56%E -4.41%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 00:09
Grosvenor3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -5.64%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -9.04%E -4.68%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:05
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -5.64%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -9.04%E -4.68%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:05
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -5.64%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -9.04%E -4.68%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:05
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -5.64%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -9.04%E -4.68%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:05
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -5.64%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -9.04%E -4.68%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:10
TABtouch3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -5.64%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -9.04%E -4.68%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:10
BetRivers3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -5.64%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -9.04%E -4.68%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:09
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -5.64%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -9.04%E -4.68%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:10
betPARX3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -5.64%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -9.04%E -4.68%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:10
Casumo3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -5.64%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -9.04%E -4.68%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 00:15
1xBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.07%EV -6.21%E -3.12%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.91%EV -5.98%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 08:25
Marathon Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.32%EV -7.15%E -3.63%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.79%EV -5.98%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-20 08:25
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.44%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 23:20
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.98%E -5.22%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 09:39
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.98%E -5.22%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 09:37
LeoVegas (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.47%EV -9.51%E -4.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 00:10
LowVig.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.23%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -4.79%E -2.37%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 14:15
BetOnline.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.23%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -4.79%E -2.37%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 14:15
Bovada3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.23%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 13:12
BetUS3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.23%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 13:15
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.23%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -8.56%E -4.41%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 23:20
LiveScore Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.23%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.50%EV -10.92%E -5.78%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-20 00:05
Virgin Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.23%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.50%EV -10.92%E -5.78%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-20 00:10
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.74%EV -6.68%E -3.37%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -6.79%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 00:50
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.74%EV -6.68%E -3.37%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -6.79%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 00:50
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 10:45
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 23:19
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 08:25
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.98%E -5.22%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 13:09
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.98%E -5.22%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 21:05
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -12.81%E -6.92%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-18 21:09
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -9.52%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -12.81%E -6.92%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-22 18:49
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -10.81%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -3.38%E -1.65%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 10:39
PMU (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -10.81%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.50%EV -12.81%E -6.92%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -12.19%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-20 00:10
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.11%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-22 18:55
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.11%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.98%E -5.22%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.11%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.98%E -5.22%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 18:45
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.11%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.98%E -5.22%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.11%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.98%E -5.22%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 18:50
Everygame3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -12.11%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.65%EV -10.45%E -5.50%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -12.19%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-23 12:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -12.11%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.55%EV -13.75%E -7.51%K -16.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.40%EV -18.95%E -6.32%K -9.47%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-18 21:05
Unibet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 25.90%EV -13.40%E -4.00%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.41%EV -13.75%E -7.51%K -16.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -12.19%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-23 18:50
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -14.69%E -4.45%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.85%EV -10.45%E -5.50%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-20 00:50
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 26.92%EV -18.57%E -5.89%K -8.64%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 46.59%EV -14.22%E -7.81%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.50%EV -13.55%E -4.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-20 00:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 37.95%1.89I 52.91%NM 21.89%1.03I 97.09%NM 40.16%141.7%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 37.95%1.89I 52.91%NM 21.89%1.03I 97.09%NM 40.16%141.7%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 31.98%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.51%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.51%186.9%2026-04-24 03:50