Language:English
Shelbourne Dublin v St Patricks Athletic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shelbourne Dublin (Local)
Prediction 40.12%2.49fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -2.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.00%40.22%40.13%42.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.252.4047.62%44.55%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St Patricks Athletic (Visit)
Prediction 29.21%3.42fair odd
EV -0.698%
Edge -0.205%
Kelly -0.291%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.18%29.15%29.29%30.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.183.203.4034.72%31.46%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.68%3.26fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.65%30.63%30.57%31.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.003.003.1536.36%33.35%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shelbourne Dublin (Local): 40.12%; St Patricks Athletic (Visit): 29.21%; Draw: 30.68%. For St Patricks Athletic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -0.698%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.24%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -0.698%E -0.205%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.36%EV -5.52%E -1.79%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-06 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.24%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -0.698%E -0.205%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.36%EV -5.52%E -1.79%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-06 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.23%EV -4.12%E -1.72%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.45%EV -1.28%E -0.379%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -5.83%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 19:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -5.72%E -2.43%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -3.37%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 15:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -5.72%E -2.43%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -5.72%E -2.43%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 17:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -5.72%E -2.43%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 17:16 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.93%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -7.33%E -3.17%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.58%EV -4.49%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.95%EV -7.36%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 19:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 15:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -9.51%E -3.22%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 19:01 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-06 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-06 19:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-06 19:51 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-06 19:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.04%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-06 19:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.04%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.58%E -4.41%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-06 19:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV -9.73%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-06 17:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.73%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.65%E -4.05%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.73%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.04%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-06 15:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.73%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.04%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-06 15:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.73%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.04%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-06 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.73%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.04%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-06 15:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -9.73%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -11.65%E -4.05%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.93%EV -11.74%E -5.34%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -15.30%E -5.28%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -9.51%E -3.22%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-06 17:16 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -11.74%E -5.34%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -13.84%E -4.69%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -12.58%E -4.41%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-06 19:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -11.74%E -5.34%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -14.11%E -5.04%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.00%EV -11.74%E -5.34%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.79%EV -15.89%E -5.52%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.20%EV -15.64%E -5.69%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.16%EV -13.34%E -6.18%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.40%EV -13.84%E -4.69%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.44%EV -12.58%E -4.41%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-03-06 19:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -13.75%E -6.39%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -2.16%E -0.644%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -13.75%E -6.39%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -2.16%E -0.644%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -13.75%E -6.39%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -2.16%E -0.644%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -13.75%E -6.39%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -2.16%E -0.644%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -13.75%E -6.39%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -2.16%E -0.644%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -13.75%E -6.39%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -2.16%E -0.644%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -13.75%E -6.39%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -2.16%E -0.644%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -13.75%E -6.39%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -2.16%E -0.644%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -13.75%E -6.39%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -2.16%E -0.644%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -13.75%E -6.39%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -2.16%E -0.644%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -13.75%E -6.39%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -2.16%E -0.644%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -14.95%E -7.05%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -2.16%E -0.644%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -15.75%E -7.50%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -3.62%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -15.75%E -7.50%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -3.62%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.89% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.18% | 1.8% | 2026-03-06 19:35 |