L’École des cotes

Shelbourne Dublin v St Patricks Athletic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-06 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shelbourne Dublin (Local)

Prévision 40.12%2.49cote équitable
EV -3.72%
Avantage -1.55%
Kelly -2.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.00%40.22%40.13%42.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.242.252.4047.62%44.55%44.44%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

St Patricks Athletic (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.21%3.42cote équitable
EV -0.698%
Avantage -0.205%
Kelly -0.291%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.18%29.15%29.29%30.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.183.203.4034.72%31.46%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.68%3.26cote équitable
EV -3.37%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -1.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.65%30.63%30.57%31.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.003.003.1536.36%33.35%33.33%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.24%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -0.698%E -0.205%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.36%EV -5.52%E -1.79%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-06 14:30
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.24%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -0.698%E -0.205%K -0.291%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.36%EV -5.52%E -1.79%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-06 14:30
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 40.23%EV -4.12%E -1.72%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.45%EV -1.28%E -0.379%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -5.83%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 19:50
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -5.72%E -2.43%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -3.37%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 15:50
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -5.72%E -2.43%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 19:10
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -5.72%E -2.43%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 17:15
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -5.72%E -2.43%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 17:16
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.93%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 19:55
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -7.33%E -3.17%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.58%EV -4.49%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.95%EV -7.36%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:55
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 19:24
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 15:50
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -9.51%E -3.22%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:01
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 15:50
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 19:50
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 19:55
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 19:51
BetAnything2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 19:50
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.04%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 19:10
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-06 19:35
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.04%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-06 19:30
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -7.73%E -3.36%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.58%E -4.41%K -6.80%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-06 19:35
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV -9.73%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-06 17:15
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.73%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.65%E -4.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-06 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.73%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.04%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-06 15:20
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.73%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.04%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-06 15:20
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.73%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.04%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-06 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.73%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.04%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-06 15:20
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -9.73%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -11.65%E -4.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-06 19:40
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.93%EV -11.74%E -5.34%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -15.30%E -5.28%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -9.51%E -3.22%K -4.88%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-06 17:16
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -11.74%E -5.34%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -13.84%E -4.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -12.58%E -4.41%K -6.80%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-06 19:35
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -11.74%E -5.34%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -14.11%E -5.04%K -7.84%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-06 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.00%EV -11.74%E -5.34%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.79%EV -15.89%E -5.52%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.20%EV -15.64%E -5.69%K -8.94%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-06 19:40
Unibet (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 40.16%EV -13.34%E -6.18%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.40%EV -13.84%E -4.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.44%EV -12.58%E -4.41%K -6.80%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-06 19:50
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -13.75%E -6.39%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -2.16%E -0.644%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:05
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -13.75%E -6.39%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -2.16%E -0.644%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:05
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -13.75%E -6.39%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -2.16%E -0.644%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:05
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -13.75%E -6.39%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -2.16%E -0.644%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:05
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -13.75%E -6.39%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -2.16%E -0.644%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:05
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -13.75%E -6.39%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -2.16%E -0.644%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:05
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -13.75%E -6.39%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -2.16%E -0.644%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:05
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -13.75%E -6.39%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -2.16%E -0.644%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:05
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -13.75%E -6.39%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -2.16%E -0.644%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:05
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -13.75%E -6.39%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -2.16%E -0.644%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:05
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -13.75%E -6.39%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -2.16%E -0.644%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -14.95%E -7.05%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -2.16%E -0.644%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-06 19:05
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -15.75%E -7.50%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -3.62%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-06 19:05
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -15.75%E -7.50%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -3.62%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-06 19:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%0.9%2026-03-06 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%0.9%2026-03-06 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%0.9%2026-03-06 19:40
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 39.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.18%1.8%2026-03-06 19:35