Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shelbourne Dublin v Sligo Rovers

Kickoff: 2026-05-08 18:45 UTC

Final: Shelbourne Dublin 0–0 Sligo Rovers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shelbourne Dublin (Local)

Prediction 64.94%1.54fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -5.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.16%64.79%64.97%66.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.431.441.5075.19%70.16%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sligo Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 13.59%7.36fair odd
EV +1.91%
Edge +0.255%
Kelly +0.294%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.40%13.74%13.56%15.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.606.586.757.5017.86%15.19%14.81%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.47%4.66fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -0.751%
Kelly -0.966%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.70%21.47%21.48%23.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.184.204.5026.67%23.91%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shelbourne Dublin (Local): 64.94%; Sligo Rovers (Visit): 13.59%; Draw: 21.47%. For Sligo Rovers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.36. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.91%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -9.08%E -6.49%K -22.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +1.91%E +0.255%K +0.294%G +0.006%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 18:28
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.04%EV -4.54%E -3.09%K -9.65%G +0.000%7.28I 13.74%NM 13.13%EV -1.08%E -0.148%K -0.171%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.83%EV -5.96%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 18:40
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.69%EV -5.84%E -4.03%K -12.97%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.14%EV -1.48%E -0.205%K -0.238%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.38%E -0.751%K -0.966%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 18:19
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.08%EV -5.84%E -4.03%K -12.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -4.88%E -0.697%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 18:18
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.91%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -4.88%E -0.697%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 18:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.91%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -4.88%E -0.697%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 18:40
BetAnything🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.91%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -4.88%E -0.697%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 18:39
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.17%EV -7.14%E -4.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -4.88%E -0.697%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:29
Bet Right🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.89%EV -7.78%E -5.48%K -18.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -4.88%E -0.697%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:19
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -4.88%E -0.697%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -9.08%E -6.49%K -22.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -4.88%E -0.697%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 18:34
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -11.68%E -8.59%K -32.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -4.88%E -0.697%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-08 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.75%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.71%EV -7.60%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:39
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -5.84%E -4.03%K -12.97%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -8.28%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -11.97%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:04
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -5.84%E -4.03%K -12.97%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -8.28%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -11.97%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.64%EV -8.28%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -11.97%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 18:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.64%EV -8.28%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -11.97%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 18:04
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.64%EV -8.28%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -11.97%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 18:05
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.64%EV -8.28%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -11.97%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 18:04
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.64%EV -8.28%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -11.97%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 18:05
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.64%EV -8.28%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -11.97%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 18:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.64%EV -8.28%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -11.97%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 18:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.64%EV -8.28%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -11.97%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 18:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.75%EV -7.78%E -5.48%K -18.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -8.28%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -8.75%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 18:19
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -7.14%E -4.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -8.28%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.97%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-04 02:55
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -9.08%E -6.49%K -22.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -8.28%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -11.97%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.25%EV -5.84%E -4.03%K -12.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -11.68%E -1.80%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -6.60%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:34
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.41%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.68%E -1.80%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.60%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 18:34
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.41%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.68%E -1.80%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.60%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 18:39
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -7.14%E -4.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -11.68%E -1.80%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.74%EV -7.14%E -4.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -11.68%E -1.80%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -11.97%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 18:04
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -9.08%E -6.49%K -22.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -11.68%E -1.80%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.72%EV -8.43%E -5.98%K -20.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -11.68%E -1.80%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-08 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.72%EV -8.43%E -5.98%K -20.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -11.68%E -1.80%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-08 18:05
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.55%EV -11.68%E -8.59%K -32.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -11.68%E -1.80%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-08 18:29
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -13.63%E -10.25%K -41.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -11.68%E -1.80%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-08 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 63.62%EV -11.68%E -8.59%K -32.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -11.68%E -1.80%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -19.48%E -5.20%K -7.08%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-08 18:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.72%EV -10.38%E -7.52%K -27.32%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.74%EV -13.03%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -16.26%E -4.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-08 18:05
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.05%EV -7.14%E -4.99%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.65%EV -15.07%E -2.41%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 18:40
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.16%EV -5.84%E -4.03%K -12.97%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -15.07%E -2.41%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -17.34%E -4.50%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-08 18:39
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -18.47%E -3.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 13:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -7.78%E -5.48%K -18.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -18.47%E -3.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 18:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.00%EV -11.68%E -8.59%K -32.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.51%EV -18.47%E -3.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.49%EV -13.04%E -3.22%K -4.28%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-08 18:34
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.51%EV -2.59%E -1.73%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 15.84%EV -19.56%E -3.30%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.65%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -21.87%E -3.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 13:19
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -21.87%E -3.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -21.87%E -3.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 13:19
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -21.87%E -3.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 13:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 63.32%EV -9.73%E -7.00%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.72%EV -23.91%E -4.27%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-08 18:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.70%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%0.5%2026-05-08 18:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.51%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%0.8%2026-05-08 18:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.51%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%0.8%2026-05-08 18:40
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.51%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68%0.8%2026-05-08 18:39