La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Shelbourne Dublin v Sligo Rovers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Shelbourne Dublin (Local)
Predicción 64.94%1.54momio equitativo
EV -2.59%
Ventaja -1.73%
Kelly -5.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.16%64.79%64.97%66.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.431.441.5075.19%70.16%69.44%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sligo Rovers (Visitante)
Predicción 13.59%7.36momio equitativo
EV +1.91%
Ventaja +0.255%
Kelly +0.294%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.40%13.74%13.56%15.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.606.586.757.5017.86%15.19%14.81%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.47%4.66momio equitativo
EV -3.38%
Ventaja -0.751%
Kelly -0.966%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.70%21.47%21.48%23.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.184.204.5026.67%23.91%23.81%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -9.08%E -6.49%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +1.91%E +0.255%K +0.294%G +0.006% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 18:28 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.04%EV -4.54%E -3.09%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 7.28I 13.74%NM 13.13%EV -1.08%E -0.148%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.83%EV -5.96%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.69%EV -5.84%E -4.03%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.14%EV -1.48%E -0.205%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.38%E -0.751%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.08%EV -5.84%E -4.03%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -4.88%E -0.697%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 18:18 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.91%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -4.88%E -0.697%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.91%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -4.88%E -0.697%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.91%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -4.88%E -0.697%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Betway | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.17%EV -7.14%E -4.99%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -4.88%E -0.697%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.89%EV -7.78%E -5.48%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -4.88%E -0.697%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -4.88%E -0.697%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -9.08%E -6.49%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -4.88%E -0.697%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -11.68%E -8.59%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -4.88%E -0.697%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.75%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.71%EV -7.60%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -5.84%E -4.03%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -8.28%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -11.97%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 18:04 |
| Unibet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -5.84%E -4.03%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -8.28%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -11.97%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.64%EV -8.28%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -11.97%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 18:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.64%EV -8.28%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -11.97%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 18:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.64%EV -8.28%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -11.97%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 18:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.64%EV -8.28%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -11.97%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 18:04 |
| Casumo | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.64%EV -8.28%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -11.97%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 18:05 |
| betPARX | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.64%EV -8.28%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -11.97%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 18:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.64%EV -8.28%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -11.97%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 18:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.64%EV -8.28%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -11.97%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 18:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.75%EV -7.78%E -5.48%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -8.28%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -8.75%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -7.14%E -4.99%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -8.28%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -11.97%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 02:55 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -9.08%E -6.49%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -8.28%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -11.97%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.25%EV -5.84%E -4.03%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -11.68%E -1.80%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -6.60%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Betsson | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.41%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.68%E -1.80%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.60%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.41%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.68%E -1.80%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.60%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Bovada | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -7.14%E -4.99%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -11.68%E -1.80%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.74%EV -7.14%E -4.99%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -11.68%E -1.80%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -11.97%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-08 18:04 |
| betfred_uk | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -9.08%E -6.49%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -11.68%E -1.80%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.72%EV -8.43%E -5.98%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -11.68%E -1.80%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-08 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.72%EV -8.43%E -5.98%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -11.68%E -1.80%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-08 18:05 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.55%EV -11.68%E -8.59%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -11.68%E -1.80%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -13.63%E -10.25%K -41.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -11.68%E -1.80%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.62%EV -11.68%E -8.59%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -11.68%E -1.80%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -19.48%E -5.20%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.72%EV -10.38%E -7.52%K -27.32%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.74%EV -13.03%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -16.26%E -4.17%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-08 18:05 |
| BetUS | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.05%EV -7.14%E -4.99%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.65%EV -15.07%E -2.41%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.16%EV -5.84%E -4.03%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -15.07%E -2.41%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -17.34%E -4.50%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -18.47%E -3.08%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-08 13:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -7.78%E -5.48%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -18.47%E -3.08%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.00%EV -11.68%E -8.59%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.51%EV -18.47%E -3.08%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.49%EV -13.04%E -3.22%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| 1xBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.51%EV -2.59%E -1.73%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.92I 16.89%NM 15.84%EV -19.56%E -3.30%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.65%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -21.87%E -3.80%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-08 13:19 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -21.87%E -3.80%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-08 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -21.87%E -3.80%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-08 13:19 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -6.49%E -4.50%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -21.87%E -3.80%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-08 13:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.32%EV -9.73%E -7.00%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.72%EV -23.91%E -4.27%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.70% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.57% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 0.5% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.51% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.51% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.51% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |