Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shelbourne Dublin v Shamrock Rovers

Kickoff: 2026-03-09 19:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shelbourne Dublin (Local)

Prediction 38.14%2.62fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.01%38.09%38.10%39.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.262.432.422.5544.25%41.07%41.32%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shamrock Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 31.19%3.21fair odd
EV +0.119%
Edge +0.037%
Kelly +0.054%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.62%31.26%31.33%33.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.892.863.2137.04%34.66%34.97%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.67%3.26fair odd
EV -0.331%
Edge -0.102%
Kelly -0.147%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.33%30.65%30.58%31.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.983.003.2537.04%33.56%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shelbourne Dublin (Local): 38.14%; Shamrock Rovers (Visit): 31.19%; Draw: 30.67%. For Shamrock Rovers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.206. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.210, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.119%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.52%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.00%EV +0.119%E +0.037%K +0.054%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.47%EV -6.16%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 19:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92%EV -3.88%E -1.54%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -1.44%E -0.456%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.85%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92%EV -3.88%E -1.54%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -1.44%E -0.456%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.85%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:34
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -9.53%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-09 19:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.22%EV -6.93%E -2.84%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.48%EV -4.56%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.30%EV -8.61%E -2.89%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 19:33
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 18:55
1xBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.10%EV -8.84%E -3.70%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.94%EV -5.81%E -1.92%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.95%EV -4.32%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 19:35
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -0.331%E -0.102%K -0.147%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 18:49
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -11.06%E -3.82%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-09 19:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -9.53%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-09 18:45
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -9.22%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -11.68%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-09 19:35
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -11.06%E -3.82%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-09 19:34
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.27%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -14.13%E -5.05%K -7.85%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-09 19:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-09 18:55
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-09 18:55
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-09 18:55
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-09 19:40
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -8.93%E -3.06%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 18:55
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -8.93%E -3.06%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-09 19:25
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-09 19:25
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-09 19:35
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.06%E -3.82%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-09 19:20
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.91%EV -12.27%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.38%EV -10.49%E -3.65%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.71%EV -15.66%E -5.70%K -8.95%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-09 19:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -11.11%E -3.90%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -6.46%E -2.12%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-09 18:55
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -12.67%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 18:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -12.67%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 18:50
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -12.67%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 18:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -12.67%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -12.67%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 18:50
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -12.67%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -12.67%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 18:50
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -12.67%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 18:49
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -12.67%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 18:50
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -12.67%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 18:50
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -12.67%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-09 18:45
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.05%EV -12.27%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -12.67%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.70%EV -12.60%E -4.42%K -6.81%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-09 19:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 38.37%EV -13.80%E -6.10%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.20%EV -13.29%E -4.78%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.43%EV -12.60%E -4.42%K -6.81%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-09 19:40
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -14.23%E -5.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-09 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -14.23%E -5.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-09 18:50
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.22%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -14.23%E -5.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-09 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.22%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -14.23%E -5.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-09 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -9.60%E -4.05%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -14.23%E -5.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-09 18:45
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -9.60%E -4.05%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -14.23%E -5.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-09 18:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -12.27%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -14.23%E -5.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -9.53%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-09 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.20%EV -12.27%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -14.23%E -5.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -17.20%E -6.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-09 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.24%EV -5.41%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.29%EV -15.79%E -5.85%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -9.53%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-09 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.24%EV -5.41%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.29%EV -15.79%E -5.85%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -9.53%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-09 18:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%1.1%2026-03-09 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%1.1%2026-03-09 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%1.1%2026-03-09 19:25
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%1.1%2026-03-09 19:39