La escuela de los momios

Shelbourne Dublin v Shamrock Rovers

Inicio: 2026-03-09 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shelbourne Dublin (Local)

Predicción 38.14%2.62momio equitativo
EV -2.74%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -1.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.01%38.09%38.10%39.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.262.432.422.5544.25%41.07%41.32%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shamrock Rovers (Visitante)

Predicción 31.19%3.21momio equitativo
EV +0.119%
Ventaja +0.037%
Kelly +0.054%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.62%31.26%31.33%33.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.892.863.2137.04%34.66%34.97%31.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.67%3.26momio equitativo
EV -0.331%
Ventaja -0.102%
Kelly -0.147%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.33%30.65%30.58%31.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.983.003.2537.04%33.56%33.33%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.52%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.00%EV +0.119%E +0.037%K +0.054%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.47%EV -6.16%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 19:30
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92%EV -3.88%E -1.54%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -1.44%E -0.456%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.85%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:34
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.92%EV -3.88%E -1.54%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -1.44%E -0.456%K -0.667%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.85%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 19:34
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -9.53%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-09 19:34
Marathon Bet2.44I 40.98%NM 38.22%EV -6.93%E -2.84%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.48%EV -4.56%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.30%EV -8.61%E -2.89%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 19:33
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 18:55
1xBet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.10%EV -8.84%E -3.70%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.94%EV -5.81%E -1.92%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.95%EV -4.32%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 19:35
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -0.331%E -0.102%K -0.147%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 18:49
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -11.06%E -3.82%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-09 19:25
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -9.53%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-09 18:45
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -9.22%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -11.68%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-09 19:35
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -11.06%E -3.82%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-09 19:34
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.27%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -14.13%E -5.05%K -7.85%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-09 19:35
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-09 18:55
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-09 18:55
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-09 18:55
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-09 19:40
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -8.93%E -3.06%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 18:55
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -8.93%E -3.06%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 18:55
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-09 19:25
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-09 19:25
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-09 19:35
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.06%E -3.82%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-09 19:20
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.91%EV -12.27%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.38%EV -10.49%E -3.65%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.71%EV -15.66%E -5.70%K -8.95%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-09 19:34
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -11.11%E -3.90%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -6.46%E -2.12%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-09 18:55
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -12.67%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 18:49
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -12.67%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 18:50
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -12.67%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 18:49
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -12.67%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 18:50
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -12.67%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 18:50
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -12.67%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 18:50
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -12.67%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 18:50
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -12.67%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 18:49
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -12.67%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 18:50
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -12.67%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 18:50
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -12.67%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-09 18:45
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.05%EV -12.27%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -12.67%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.70%EV -12.60%E -4.42%K -6.81%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-09 19:20
Unibet (FR)2.26I 44.25%NM 38.37%EV -13.80%E -6.10%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.20%EV -13.29%E -4.78%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.43%EV -12.60%E -4.42%K -6.81%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-09 19:40
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -14.23%E -5.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-09 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -14.23%E -5.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-09 18:50
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.22%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -14.23%E -5.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-09 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.22%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -14.23%E -5.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-09 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -9.60%E -4.05%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -14.23%E -5.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-09 18:45
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -9.60%E -4.05%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -14.23%E -5.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.00%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-09 18:45
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -12.27%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -14.23%E -5.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -9.53%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-09 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.20%EV -12.27%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -14.23%E -5.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -17.20%E -6.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-09 18:40
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.24%EV -5.41%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.29%EV -15.79%E -5.85%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -9.53%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-09 18:50
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.24%EV -5.41%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.29%EV -15.79%E -5.85%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -9.53%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-09 18:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%1.1%2026-03-09 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%1.1%2026-03-09 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%1.1%2026-03-09 19:25
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%1.1%2026-03-09 19:39