Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shelbourne Dublin v Bohemians

Kickoff: 2026-06-22 18:45 UTC

Final: Shelbourne Dublin 0–3 Bohemians

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shelbourne Dublin (Local)

Prediction 34.63%2.89fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.56%34.75%34.62%35.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.642.652.7940.82%37.88%37.74%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bohemians (Visit)

Prediction 35.78%2.79fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -0.580%
Kelly -0.912%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.89%35.77%35.83%37.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.562.552.7540.82%39.08%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.59%3.38fair odd
EV +0.595%
Edge +0.175%
Kelly +0.248%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.04%29.48%29.54%32.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.633.083.103.4038.02%32.44%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shelbourne Dublin (Local): 34.63%; Bohemians (Visit): 35.78%; Draw: 29.59%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.38. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.595%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -8.23%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV +0.595%E +0.175%K +0.248%G +0.001%4.9%2026-06-22 11:09
1xBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.08%EV -9.83%E -3.90%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -2.36%E -0.716%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 18:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -11.69%E -4.59%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.75%E -3.43%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.84%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-22 11:10
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -11.69%E -4.59%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.75%E -3.43%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.84%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-22 11:09
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -4.77%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.32%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-22 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.32%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-22 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -11.69%E -4.59%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -5.32%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-22 13:59
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -13.42%E -5.37%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -5.32%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-22 11:09
Pinnacle🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.02%EV -1.60%E -0.580%K -0.912%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.47%EV -6.51%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-22 18:40
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.12%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.67%EV -7.68%E -2.98%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -6.80%E -2.16%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-22 13:59
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.12%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.67%EV -7.68%E -2.98%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -6.80%E -2.16%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-22 13:59
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -8.75%E -3.43%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -6.80%E -2.16%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-22 18:39
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.47%EV -8.23%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.54%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -6.80%E -2.16%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-22 18:38
BetOnline.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -3.73%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.70%EV -5.53%E -2.10%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-22 18:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -3.73%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.70%EV -5.53%E -2.10%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-22 18:40
BetAnything🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -3.73%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.70%EV -5.53%E -2.10%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-22 18:39
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 18:39
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.77%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-22 17:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -4.77%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.01%EV -7.32%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-22 18:38
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-22 18:39
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-22 18:39
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -8.75%E -3.43%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-22 11:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.42%E -5.37%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-22 11:10
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.42%E -5.37%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-22 11:10
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.42%E -5.37%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-22 11:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.42%E -5.37%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-22 11:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.92%EV -11.69%E -4.59%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -12.33%E -5.03%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-22 13:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.84%EV -15.16%E -6.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.84%EV -12.33%E -5.03%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-22 13:59
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -9.76%E -3.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 17:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -9.76%E -3.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 17:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -9.76%E -3.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 17:59
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -9.76%E -3.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 17:59
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -9.76%E -3.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 17:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -9.76%E -3.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 17:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -9.76%E -3.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 17:59
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -9.76%E -3.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 17:59
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -9.76%E -3.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 17:58
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.75%E -3.43%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -9.76%E -3.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-22 18:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-22 18:40
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-22 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -8.23%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.75%E -3.43%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-22 17:59
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -8.23%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.75%E -3.43%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-22 18:39
Everygame🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-22 18:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -8.92%E -3.39%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-22 17:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -8.92%E -3.39%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-22 18:00
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -14.20%E -4.90%K -7.47%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-22 18:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.88%EV -12.33%E -5.03%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -14.20%E -4.90%K -7.47%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-22 17:59
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.58%EV -13.42%E -5.37%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.29%EV -12.33%E -5.03%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.13%EV -15.09%E -5.26%K -8.07%G +0.000%15.7%2026-06-22 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.89%EV -13.42%E -5.37%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.89%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.22%EV -22.19%E -8.44%K -13.61%G +0.000%18.0%2026-06-22 18:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.53%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.78%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69%0.5%2026-06-22 18:39
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 34.29%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.03%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%0.6%2026-06-22 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.44%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-06-22 18:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.44%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-06-22 18:39