Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Shelbourne Dublin v Bohemians

Inicio: 2026-06-22 18:45 UTC

Final: Shelbourne Dublin 0–3 Bohemians

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Shelbourne Dublin (Local)

Predicción 34.63%2.89momio equitativo
EV -3.38%
Ventaja -1.21%
Kelly -1.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.56%34.75%34.62%35.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.452.642.652.7940.82%37.88%37.74%35.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Bohemians (Visitante)

Predicción 35.78%2.79momio equitativo
EV -1.60%
Ventaja -0.580%
Kelly -0.912%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.89%35.77%35.83%37.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.452.562.552.7540.82%39.08%39.22%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 29.59%3.38momio equitativo
EV +0.595%
Ventaja +0.175%
Kelly +0.248%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.04%29.48%29.54%32.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.633.083.103.4038.02%32.44%32.26%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Shelbourne Dublin (Local): 34.63%; Bohemians (Visitante): 35.78%; Empate: 29.59%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.38. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.40, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.595%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -8.23%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV +0.595%E +0.175%K +0.248%G +0.001%4.9%2026-06-22 11:09
1xBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.08%EV -9.83%E -3.90%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -2.36%E -0.716%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 18:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -11.69%E -4.59%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.75%E -3.43%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.84%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-22 11:10
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -11.69%E -4.59%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.75%E -3.43%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -3.84%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-22 11:09
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -4.77%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.32%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-22 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.32%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-22 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -11.69%E -4.59%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -5.32%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-22 13:59
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -13.42%E -5.37%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -5.32%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-22 11:09
Pinnacle🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.02%EV -1.60%E -0.580%K -0.912%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.47%EV -6.51%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-22 18:40
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.12%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.67%EV -7.68%E -2.98%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -6.80%E -2.16%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-22 13:59
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.12%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.67%EV -7.68%E -2.98%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -6.80%E -2.16%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-22 13:59
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -8.75%E -3.43%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -6.80%E -2.16%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-22 18:39
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.47%EV -8.23%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.54%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -6.80%E -2.16%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-22 18:38
BetOnline.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -3.73%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.70%EV -5.53%E -2.10%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-22 18:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -3.73%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.70%EV -5.53%E -2.10%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-22 18:40
BetAnything🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.90%EV -3.73%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.70%EV -5.53%E -2.10%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-22 18:39
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 18:39
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.77%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-22 17:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -4.77%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.01%EV -7.32%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-22 18:38
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-22 18:39
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-22 18:39
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -8.75%E -3.43%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-22 11:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.42%E -5.37%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-22 11:10
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.42%E -5.37%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-22 11:10
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.42%E -5.37%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-22 11:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -13.42%E -5.37%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-22 11:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.92%EV -11.69%E -4.59%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -12.33%E -5.03%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-22 13:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.84%EV -15.16%E -6.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.84%EV -12.33%E -5.03%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-22 13:59
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -9.76%E -3.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 17:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -9.76%E -3.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 17:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -9.76%E -3.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 17:59
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -9.76%E -3.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 17:59
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -9.76%E -3.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 17:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -9.76%E -3.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 17:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -9.76%E -3.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 17:59
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -9.76%E -3.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 17:59
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -9.76%E -3.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 17:58
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.75%E -3.43%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -9.76%E -3.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-22 18:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-22 18:40
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-22 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -8.23%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.75%E -3.43%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-22 17:59
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -8.23%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.75%E -3.43%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-22 18:39
Everygame🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-22 18:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -8.92%E -3.39%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-22 17:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -8.92%E -3.39%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-22 18:00
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -14.20%E -4.90%K -7.47%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-22 18:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.88%EV -12.33%E -5.03%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -14.20%E -4.90%K -7.47%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-22 17:59
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.58%EV -13.42%E -5.37%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.29%EV -12.33%E -5.03%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.13%EV -15.09%E -5.26%K -8.07%G +0.000%15.7%2026-06-22 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.89%EV -13.42%E -5.37%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.89%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.22%EV -22.19%E -8.44%K -13.61%G +0.000%18.0%2026-06-22 18:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.53%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.78%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69%0.5%2026-06-22 18:39
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 34.29%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.03%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%0.6%2026-06-22 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.44%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-06-22 18:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.44%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-06-22 18:39