Language:English
Shamrock Rovers v Derry City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shamrock Rovers (Local)
Prediction 45.32%2.21fair odd
EV -3.92%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -3.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.41%45.39%45.21%46.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.002.002.1252.36%49.88%50.00%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Derry City (Visit)
Prediction 26.79%3.73fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.388%
Kelly -0.533%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.01%26.71%26.91%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.473.453.6831.25%28.85%28.99%27.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.90%3.58fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.514%
Kelly -0.717%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.10%27.89%27.88%29.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.243.203.5234.72%30.82%31.25%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shamrock Rovers (Local): 45.32%; Derry City (Visit): 26.79%; Draw: 27.90%. For Derry City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.68, with an expected value of -1.43%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -3.92%E -1.85%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.28%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -3.76%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.50%EV -6.19%E -2.99%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.16%EV -1.43%E -0.388%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.34%EV -1.81%E -0.514%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 19:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.91%EV -6.64%E -3.23%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -3.57%E -0.992%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.91%EV -6.64%E -3.23%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -3.57%E -0.992%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.10%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 19:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.10%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.10%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.10%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -7.10%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -10.27%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 19:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -7.10%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -10.27%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 19:51 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -7.10%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -10.27%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 19:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.10%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.10%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.10%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.10%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 19:46 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -7.10%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.06%EV -8.00%E -3.94%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.19%EV -4.37%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.75%EV -5.99%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.15%EV -8.46%E -4.19%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -5.71%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.36%E -4.68%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 19:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -9.36%E -4.68%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -9.36%E -4.68%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -9.36%E -4.68%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-06 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.36%E -4.68%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.36%E -4.68%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.36%E -4.68%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.36%E -4.68%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.36%E -4.68%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.52%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-06 19:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -10.27%E -5.19%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -2.23%E -0.611%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -10.27%E -5.19%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -10.72%E -5.44%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -2.23%E -0.611%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -10.72%E -5.44%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -2.23%E -0.611%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -10.72%E -5.44%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -2.23%E -0.611%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -10.72%E -5.44%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -2.23%E -0.611%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -10.72%E -5.44%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -2.23%E -0.611%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -10.72%E -5.44%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -2.23%E -0.611%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -10.72%E -5.44%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -2.23%E -0.611%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 19:41 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -10.72%E -5.44%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -2.23%E -0.611%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -10.72%E -5.44%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -2.23%E -0.611%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -10.72%E -5.44%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -2.23%E -0.611%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.94%EV -11.18%E -5.70%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.29%E -4.46%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -11.63%E -5.96%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -3.57%E -0.992%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.06%EV -11.63%E -5.96%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -12.95%E -3.98%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -11.63%E -5.96%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -13.52%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-06 19:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -12.08%E -6.23%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -3.57%E -0.992%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -12.08%E -6.23%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -3.57%E -0.992%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.33%EV -12.99%E -6.76%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.78%EV -12.95%E -3.98%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 27.89%EV -12.97%E -4.16%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.60%EV -13.44%E -7.04%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.82%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.58%EV -19.66%E -6.83%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-03-06 19:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.12% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67% | 0.4% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.12% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67% | 0.4% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.12% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67% | 0.4% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.17% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83% | 1.2% | 2026-03-06 19:50 |