L’École des cotesFrançais
Shamrock Rovers v Derry City
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Shamrock Rovers (Local)
Prévision 45.32%2.21cote équitable
EV -3.92%
Avantage -1.85%
Kelly -3.50%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.12
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.41%45.39%45.21%46.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.002.002.1252.36%49.88%50.00%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Derry City (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.79%3.73cote équitable
EV -1.43%
Avantage -0.388%
Kelly -0.533%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.68
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.01%26.71%26.91%27.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.473.453.6831.25%28.85%28.99%27.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.90%3.58cote équitable
EV -1.81%
Avantage -0.514%
Kelly -0.717%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.52
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.10%27.89%27.88%29.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.243.203.5234.72%30.82%31.25%28.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -3.92%E -1.85%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.28%EV -4.83%E -2.30%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -3.76%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.50%EV -6.19%E -2.99%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.16%EV -1.43%E -0.388%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.34%EV -1.81%E -0.514%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 19:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.91%EV -6.64%E -3.23%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -3.57%E -0.992%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.91%EV -6.64%E -3.23%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -3.57%E -0.992%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.10%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 19:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.10%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| Betsson | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.10%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.10%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -7.10%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -10.27%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 19:50 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -7.10%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -10.27%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 19:51 |
| BetAnything | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -7.10%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -10.27%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 19:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.10%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.10%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.10%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.10%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 19:46 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -7.10%E -3.46%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.06%EV -8.00%E -3.94%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.19%EV -4.37%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.75%EV -5.99%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.15%EV -8.46%E -4.19%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -5.71%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.36%E -4.68%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 19:50 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -9.36%E -4.68%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -9.36%E -4.68%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -9.36%E -4.68%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-06 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.36%E -4.68%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.36%E -4.68%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.36%E -4.68%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.36%E -4.68%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.36%E -4.68%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.52%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-06 19:35 |
| Unibet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -10.27%E -5.19%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -2.23%E -0.611%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -10.27%E -5.19%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -10.72%E -5.44%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -2.23%E -0.611%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Casumo | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -10.72%E -5.44%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -2.23%E -0.611%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -10.72%E -5.44%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -2.23%E -0.611%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -10.72%E -5.44%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -2.23%E -0.611%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -10.72%E -5.44%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -2.23%E -0.611%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -10.72%E -5.44%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -2.23%E -0.611%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 19:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -10.72%E -5.44%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -2.23%E -0.611%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 19:41 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -10.72%E -5.44%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -2.23%E -0.611%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -10.72%E -5.44%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -2.23%E -0.611%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| betPARX | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -10.72%E -5.44%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -2.23%E -0.611%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.94%EV -11.18%E -5.70%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.29%E -4.46%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -11.63%E -5.96%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -3.57%E -0.992%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.06%EV -11.63%E -5.96%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -12.95%E -3.98%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -11.63%E -5.96%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -13.52%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-06 19:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -12.08%E -6.23%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -3.57%E -0.992%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -12.08%E -6.23%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -3.57%E -0.992%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.33%EV -12.99%E -6.76%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.78%EV -12.95%E -3.98%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 27.89%EV -12.97%E -4.16%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.60%EV -13.44%E -7.04%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.82%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.58%EV -19.66%E -6.83%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-03-06 19:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.12% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67% | 0.4% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.12% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67% | 0.4% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.12% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67% | 0.4% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.17% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83% | 1.2% | 2026-03-06 19:50 |