L’École des cotes

Galway United v Sligo Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-11 16:00 UTC

Score final : Galway United 3–2 Sligo Rovers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Galway United (Local)

Prévision 53.61%1.87cote équitable
EV -4.04%
Avantage -2.26%
Kelly -5.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.80%53.64%53.69%55.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.721.731.7960.61%58.16%57.80%55.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sligo Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.98%4.55cote équitable
EV -3.27%
Avantage -0.742%
Kelly -0.961%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.86%22.02%21.94%23.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.854.144.204.4025.97%24.13%23.81%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.41%4.10cote équitable
EV -2.37%
Avantage -0.591%
Kelly -0.788%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.53%24.34%24.38%25.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.703.654.0028.57%27.02%27.40%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.04%E -2.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.55%EV -4.56%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 15:45
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -4.81%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 15:45
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.71%EV -9.64%E -2.35%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.56%EV -7.25%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 15:53
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.37%E -0.591%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 15:44
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.81%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 15:54
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.81%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 15:55
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.81%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 15:55
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.25%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-11 15:54
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-11 15:54
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 51.80%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -13.35%E -3.76%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-11 15:50
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -7.74%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 15:54
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 53.02%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 15:04
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 53.02%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 15:05
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 53.02%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 15:04
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.02%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 15:04
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 53.02%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 15:04
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.02%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 15:04
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.02%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 15:04
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 53.02%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 15:04
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.02%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 15:04
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.02%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 15:04
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.47%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-11 15:53
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.47%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-11 15:54
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.47%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 15:44
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-11 15:44
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -7.80%E -4.53%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -8.47%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 15:44
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -7.80%E -4.53%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -8.47%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 15:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -7.80%E -4.53%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-11 15:05
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.12%EV -8.33%E -4.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.25%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 15:54
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 53.56%EV -8.33%E -4.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -7.25%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-11 15:44
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.26%EV -8.33%E -4.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.25%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-11 15:44
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -8.33%E -4.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -9.69%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-11 15:45
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.25%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-11 15:44
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -9.69%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-11 15:49
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.81%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -13.35%E -3.76%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 15:04
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.81%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -13.35%E -3.76%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-11 15:44
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-11 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-11 15:44
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-11 15:44
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-11 15:44
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -10.48%E -6.27%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -9.69%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-11 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -10.48%E -6.27%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -9.69%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-11 15:54
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -10.48%E -6.27%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-11 15:39
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.30%EV -11.01%E -6.63%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-11 15:44
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.02%EV -11.01%E -6.63%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -15.36%E -3.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-11 15:44
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.93%EV -11.01%E -6.63%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -14.57%E -4.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-11 15:05
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-11 11:30
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 52.78%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.33%EV -14.26%E -3.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -14.57%E -4.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-11 15:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-07-11 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-07-11 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-07-11 15:54
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-07-11 15:55