La escuela de los momios

Galway United v Sligo Rovers

Inicio: 2026-07-11 16:00 UTC

Final: Galway United 3–2 Sligo Rovers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Galway United (Local)

Predicción 53.61%1.87momio equitativo
EV -4.04%
Ventaja -2.26%
Kelly -5.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.80%53.64%53.69%55.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.721.731.7960.61%58.16%57.80%55.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sligo Rovers (Visitante)

Predicción 21.98%4.55momio equitativo
EV -3.27%
Ventaja -0.742%
Kelly -0.961%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.86%22.02%21.94%23.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.854.144.204.4025.97%24.13%23.81%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.41%4.10momio equitativo
EV -2.37%
Ventaja -0.591%
Kelly -0.788%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.53%24.34%24.38%25.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.703.654.0028.57%27.02%27.40%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.04%E -2.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.55%EV -4.56%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 15:45
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -4.81%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 15:45
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.71%EV -9.64%E -2.35%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.56%EV -7.25%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 15:53
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.37%E -0.591%K -0.788%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 15:44
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.81%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 15:54
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.81%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 15:55
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.81%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 15:55
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.25%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-11 15:54
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-11 15:54
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 51.80%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -13.35%E -3.76%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-11 15:50
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -7.74%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 15:54
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 53.02%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 15:04
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 53.02%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 15:05
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 53.02%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 15:04
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.02%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 15:04
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 53.02%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 15:04
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.02%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 15:04
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.02%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 15:04
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 53.02%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 15:04
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.02%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 15:04
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.02%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 15:04
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.47%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-11 15:53
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.47%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-11 15:54
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.47%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 15:44
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-11 15:44
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -7.80%E -4.53%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -8.47%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 15:44
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -7.80%E -4.53%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -8.47%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 15:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -7.80%E -4.53%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-11 15:05
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.12%EV -8.33%E -4.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.25%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 15:54
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 53.56%EV -8.33%E -4.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -7.25%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-11 15:44
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.26%EV -8.33%E -4.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.25%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-11 15:44
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -8.33%E -4.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -9.69%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-11 15:45
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.25%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-11 15:44
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -9.69%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-11 15:49
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.81%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -13.35%E -3.76%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 15:04
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.81%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -13.35%E -3.76%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-11 15:44
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-11 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-11 15:44
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-11 15:44
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-11 15:44
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -10.48%E -6.27%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -9.69%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-11 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -10.48%E -6.27%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -9.69%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-11 15:54
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -10.48%E -6.27%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-11 15:39
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.30%EV -11.01%E -6.63%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-11 15:44
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.02%EV -11.01%E -6.63%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -15.36%E -3.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-11 15:44
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.93%EV -11.01%E -6.63%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -12.06%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -14.57%E -4.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-11 15:05
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-11 11:30
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 52.78%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.33%EV -14.26%E -3.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -14.57%E -4.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-11 15:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-07-11 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-07-11 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-07-11 15:54
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-07-11 15:55