Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Galway United v Drogheda United

Kickoff: 2026-08-07 18:46 UTC

Final: Galway United 0–0 Drogheda United

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Galway United (Local)

Prediction 45.28%2.21fair odd
EV -4.91%
Edge -2.34%
Kelly -4.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.85%45.36%45.11%46.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.032.022.1052.36%49.35%49.50%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Drogheda United (Visit)

Prediction 26.04%3.84fair odd
EV +1.03%
Edge +0.266%
Kelly +0.358%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.69%26.00%26.27%28.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.483.453.8831.25%28.70%28.99%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.68%3.49fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -0.734%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.13%28.64%28.63%30.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.233.203.4033.33%30.96%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Galway United (Local): 45.28%; Drogheda United (Visit): 26.04%; Draw: 28.68%. For Drogheda United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.03%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.00%EV -5.36%E -2.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.78%EV +1.03%E +0.266%K +0.358%G +0.004%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.22%EV -5.65%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -7.62%E -3.74%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -1.05%E -0.277%K -0.376%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -7.62%E -3.74%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -1.05%E -0.277%K -0.376%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 18:40
BetUS🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -7.62%E -3.74%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -1.05%E -0.277%K -0.376%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 18:40
BetAnything🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -7.62%E -3.74%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -1.05%E -0.277%K -0.376%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.75%EV -7.62%E -3.74%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.09%EV -3.14%E -0.843%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 18:44
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -3.66%E -0.988%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 18:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -3.66%E -0.988%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 18:29
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.85%EV -7.62%E -3.74%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.55%EV -4.70%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.60%EV -6.22%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 18:44
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -4.91%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -6.26%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -2.49%E -0.734%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -11.70%E -6.00%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -6.26%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.10%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-07 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -11.70%E -6.00%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -6.26%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.10%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-07 18:30
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.91%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.56%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.80%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.76%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.86%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.80%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 18:10
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.86%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 18:20
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -4.91%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.86%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.97%E -4.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-07 18:15
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.86%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -11.10%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-07 18:35
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -11.70%E -6.00%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -8.86%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -13.97%E -4.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-07 18:25
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -6.80%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 18:10
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -6.80%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 18:10
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -2.49%E -0.734%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 18:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -2.49%E -0.734%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 18:10
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -2.49%E -0.734%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 18:15
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -2.49%E -0.734%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 18:15
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -2.49%E -0.734%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -2.49%E -0.734%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 18:10
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -2.49%E -0.734%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -2.49%E -0.734%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 18:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -2.49%E -0.734%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 18:10
Bovada🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.51%EV -6.26%E -3.03%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:45
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -3.93%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 18:15
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -9.66%E -3.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-07 18:45
SportsBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.40%EV -12.60%E -6.53%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -13.97%E -4.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-07 18:25
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -11.47%E -3.37%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.36%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -11.47%E -3.37%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.36%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:10
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.47%E -3.37%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -10.79%E -5.48%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.47%E -3.37%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -3.93%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.89%EV -11.24%E -5.74%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -12.77%E -3.81%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -5.36%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-07 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.89%EV -11.24%E -5.74%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -12.77%E -3.81%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -5.36%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-07 18:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.14%EV -12.15%E -6.26%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -12.77%E -3.81%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.71%EV -12.53%E -4.11%K -6.11%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-07 18:46
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -14.07%E -4.26%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-07 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.92%EV -11.24%E -5.74%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -14.07%E -4.26%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -11.10%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-07 18:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -13.51%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -14.07%E -4.26%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-07 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -4.91%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -16.68%E -5.21%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.10%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 13:35
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -4.91%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -16.68%E -5.21%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.10%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 13:35
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -4.91%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -16.68%E -5.21%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.10%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -4.91%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -16.68%E -5.21%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.10%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 13:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.87%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-07 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.4%2026-08-07 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.4%2026-08-07 18:45
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 45.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.50%1.7%2026-08-07 18:45

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