Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Galway United v Drogheda United

2026-08-07 18:45 UTC — League of Ireland

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Galway United (Local)

Prediction 46.51%2.15fair odd
EV -6.51%
Edge -3.24%
Kelly -6.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.30%46.51%46.51%46.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.961.992.0154.05%50.92%50.25%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Drogheda United (Visit)

Prediction 27.42%3.65fair odd
EV -6.76%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -2.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.10%27.42%27.42%28.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.333.383.4032.79%30.05%29.63%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.06%3.84fair odd
EV -7.48%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -2.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.36%26.06%26.06%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.473.503.5530.30%28.82%28.57%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Galway United (Local): 46.51%; Drogheda United (Visit): 27.42%; Draw: 26.06%. For Galway United (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.01, with an expected value of -6.51%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.35%EV -6.51%E -3.24%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -7.48%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-31 19:00
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.97%E -3.49%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 18:49
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.97%E -3.49%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 18:50
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.97%E -3.49%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 18:50
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.97%E -3.49%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 18:49
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.97%E -3.49%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 18:50
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.97%E -3.49%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 18:50
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.97%E -3.49%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 18:50
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.97%E -3.49%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 18:50
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.97%E -3.49%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 18:50
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -7.90%E -3.99%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.48%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-31 18:49
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -7.90%E -3.99%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.48%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-31 18:50
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -8.37%E -4.25%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-31 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -8.83%E -4.51%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.09%E -2.92%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-31 18:49
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.33%EV -9.76%E -5.03%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -11.39%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-31 18:50
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.33%EV -9.76%E -5.03%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -11.39%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-31 18:49
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.43%EV -11.62%E -6.12%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.00%EV -13.62%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -10.09%E -2.92%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-31 18:55
PMU (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 46.60%EV -12.09%E -6.40%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -10.88%E -3.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.29%EV -12.69%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-31 18:49
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 46.36%EV -13.48%E -7.25%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.27%EV -16.36%E -5.36%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36%EV -11.39%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-31 18:55
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 46.35%EV -13.95%E -7.54%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.66%EV -14.99%E -4.84%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -13.99%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%16.6%2026-07-31 18:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.