Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Galway United v Drogheda United

Início: 2026-08-07 18:46 UTC

Final: Galway United 0–0 Drogheda United

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Galway United (Local)

Previsão 45.28%2.21odd justa
EV -4.91%
Vantagem -2.34%
Kelly -4.46%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.85%45.36%45.11%46.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.912.032.022.1052.36%49.35%49.50%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Drogheda United (Visitante)

Previsão 26.04%3.84odd justa
EV +1.03%
Vantagem +0.266%
Kelly +0.358%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.69%26.00%26.27%28.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.483.453.8831.25%28.70%28.99%25.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.68%3.49odd justa
EV -2.49%
Vantagem -0.734%
Kelly -1.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.13%28.64%28.63%30.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.233.203.4033.33%30.96%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Galway United (Local): 45.28%; Drogheda United (Visitante): 26.04%; Empate: 28.68%. Para Drogheda United (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.84. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.88, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.03%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.00%EV -5.36%E -2.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.78%EV +1.03%E +0.266%K +0.358%G +0.004%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.22%EV -5.65%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -7.62%E -3.74%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -1.05%E -0.277%K -0.376%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -7.62%E -3.74%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -1.05%E -0.277%K -0.376%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 18:40
BetUS🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -7.62%E -3.74%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -1.05%E -0.277%K -0.376%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 18:40
BetAnything🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -7.62%E -3.74%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -1.05%E -0.277%K -0.376%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.75%EV -7.62%E -3.74%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.09%EV -3.14%E -0.843%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 18:44
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -3.66%E -0.988%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 18:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -3.66%E -0.988%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 18:29
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.85%EV -7.62%E -3.74%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.55%EV -4.70%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.60%EV -6.22%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 18:44
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -4.91%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -6.26%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -2.49%E -0.734%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -11.70%E -6.00%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -6.26%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.10%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-07 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -11.70%E -6.00%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -6.26%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.10%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-07 18:30
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.91%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.56%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.80%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.76%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.86%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.80%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 18:10
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.86%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 18:20
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -4.91%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.86%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -13.97%E -4.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-07 18:15
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.86%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -11.10%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-07 18:35
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -11.70%E -6.00%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -8.86%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -13.97%E -4.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-07 18:25
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -6.80%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 18:10
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -6.80%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 18:10
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -2.49%E -0.734%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 18:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -2.49%E -0.734%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 18:10
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -2.49%E -0.734%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 18:15
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -2.49%E -0.734%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 18:15
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -2.49%E -0.734%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -2.49%E -0.734%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 18:10
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -2.49%E -0.734%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -2.49%E -0.734%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 18:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -2.49%E -0.734%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 18:10
Bovada🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.51%EV -6.26%E -3.03%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:45
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -3.93%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 18:15
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -9.66%E -3.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-07 18:45
SportsBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.40%EV -12.60%E -6.53%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -13.97%E -4.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-07 18:25
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -11.47%E -3.37%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.36%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -11.47%E -3.37%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.36%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:10
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.47%E -3.37%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -10.79%E -5.48%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.47%E -3.37%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -3.93%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.89%EV -11.24%E -5.74%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -12.77%E -3.81%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -5.36%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-07 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.89%EV -11.24%E -5.74%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -12.77%E -3.81%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -5.36%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-07 18:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.14%EV -12.15%E -6.26%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -12.77%E -3.81%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.71%EV -12.53%E -4.11%K -6.11%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-07 18:46
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.43%E -4.72%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -14.07%E -4.26%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-07 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.92%EV -11.24%E -5.74%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -14.07%E -4.26%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -11.10%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-07 18:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -13.51%E -7.07%K -14.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -14.07%E -4.26%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-07 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -4.91%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -16.68%E -5.21%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.10%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 13:35
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -4.91%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -16.68%E -5.21%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.10%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 13:35
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -4.91%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -16.68%E -5.21%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.10%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -4.91%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -16.68%E -5.21%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.10%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 13:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.87%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-07 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.4%2026-08-07 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.4%2026-08-07 18:45
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.50%1.7%2026-08-07 18:45