A Escola das Odds

Dundalk v Waterford FC

Início: 2026-03-13 19:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Dundalk (Local)

Previsão 53.01%1.89odd justa
EV -3.52%
Vantagem -1.93%
Kelly -4.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.83%52.92%52.90%55.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.611.751.761.8262.11%56.99%56.82%54.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Waterford FC (Visitante)

Previsão 21.50%4.65odd justa
EV -0.010%
Vantagem -0.002%
Kelly -0.003%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.74%21.62%21.55%24.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.624.154.204.6527.62%24.10%23.81%21.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.49%3.92odd justa
EV -2.90%
Vantagem -0.761%
Kelly -1.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.57%25.46%25.54%26.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.563.553.8131.25%28.07%28.17%26.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:30
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:30
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:30
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:30
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:30
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:30
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:30
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:30
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:30
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -5.39%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -4.43%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -17.21%E -4.47%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 19:30
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -3.24%E -0.719%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -3.15%E -0.830%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 19:40
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -3.24%E -0.719%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -3.15%E -0.830%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 19:40
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 19:30
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 51.99%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -10.76%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-13 19:30
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.99%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -10.76%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-13 19:30
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.55%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -17.21%E -4.47%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -12.07%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 19:30
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.55%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -17.21%E -4.47%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -12.07%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 19:30
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.19%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.63%EV -0.010%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.18%EV -2.90%E -0.761%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 19:30
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -5.39%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -4.43%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 19:30
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.24%EV -6.70%E -3.81%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.01%EV -4.10%E -0.918%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.74%EV -7.23%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 19:40
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.87%EV -6.70%E -3.81%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -15.06%E -3.81%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 19:30
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.83%EV -6.70%E -3.81%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 24.23%EV -22.16%E -6.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.95%EV -13.86%E -4.10%K -5.82%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-13 19:40
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 19:29
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 19:35
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:40
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.63%EV -7.76%E -4.46%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -3.24%E -0.719%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -7.23%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 19:39
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -7.76%E -4.46%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -7.54%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 19:34
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -7.76%E -4.46%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -8.61%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:35
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -7.76%E -4.46%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.29%E -4.79%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-13 19:30
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.29%E -4.79%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-13 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.29%E -4.79%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-13 19:30
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.29%E -4.79%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-13 19:30
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 53.25%EV -8.82%E -5.13%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -7.54%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-13 19:39
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -8.82%E -5.13%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-13 19:35
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -9.35%E -5.47%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.24%E -0.719%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.15%E -0.830%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 19:38
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.88%E -5.81%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -3.24%E -0.719%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:35
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -9.88%E -5.81%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-13 19:30
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.73%EV -9.88%E -5.81%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-13 19:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 51.60%EV -10.94%E -6.51%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.52%EV -17.21%E -4.47%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.88%EV -14.62%E -4.37%K -6.22%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-13 19:30
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.44%EV -11.47%E -6.87%K -17.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -5.70%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-13 19:40
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -11.47%E -6.87%K -17.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-13 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.56%EV -11.47%E -6.87%K -17.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.91%EV -18.45%E -5.76%K -8.38%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-13 19:30
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 55.03%EV -12.53%E -7.60%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -1.08%E -0.236%K -0.301%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 19:40
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 54.25%EV -14.65%E -9.10%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.80%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.95%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-13 19:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.89%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.7%2026-03-13 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.89%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.7%2026-03-13 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.89%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.7%2026-03-13 19:40
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-03-13 19:40