L’École des cotes

Dundalk v Waterford FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-13 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dundalk (Local)

Prévision 53.01%1.89cote équitable
EV -3.52%
Avantage -1.93%
Kelly -4.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.83%52.92%52.90%55.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.751.761.8262.11%56.99%56.82%54.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Waterford FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.50%4.65cote équitable
EV -0.010%
Avantage -0.002%
Kelly -0.003%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.74%21.62%21.55%24.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.624.154.204.6527.62%24.10%23.81%21.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.49%3.92cote équitable
EV -2.90%
Avantage -0.761%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.57%25.46%25.54%26.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.563.553.8131.25%28.07%28.17%26.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:30
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:30
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:30
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:30
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:30
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:30
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:30
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:30
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:30
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -5.39%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -4.43%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -17.21%E -4.47%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 19:30
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -3.24%E -0.719%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -3.15%E -0.830%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 19:40
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -3.24%E -0.719%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -3.15%E -0.830%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 19:40
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 19:30
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 51.99%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -10.76%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-13 19:30
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.99%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -10.76%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-13 19:30
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.55%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -17.21%E -4.47%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -12.07%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 19:30
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.55%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -17.21%E -4.47%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -12.07%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 19:30
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.19%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.63%EV -0.010%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.18%EV -2.90%E -0.761%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 19:30
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -5.39%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -4.43%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 19:30
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.24%EV -6.70%E -3.81%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.01%EV -4.10%E -0.918%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.74%EV -7.23%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 19:40
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.87%EV -6.70%E -3.81%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -15.06%E -3.81%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 19:30
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.83%EV -6.70%E -3.81%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 24.23%EV -22.16%E -6.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.95%EV -13.86%E -4.10%K -5.82%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-13 19:40
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 19:29
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 19:35
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:40
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.63%EV -7.76%E -4.46%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -3.24%E -0.719%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -7.23%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 19:39
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -7.76%E -4.46%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -7.54%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 19:34
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -7.76%E -4.46%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -8.61%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:35
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -7.76%E -4.46%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.29%E -4.79%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-13 19:30
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.29%E -4.79%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-13 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.29%E -4.79%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-13 19:30
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.29%E -4.79%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-13 19:30
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 53.25%EV -8.82%E -5.13%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -7.54%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-13 19:39
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -8.82%E -5.13%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-13 19:35
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -9.35%E -5.47%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.24%E -0.719%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.15%E -0.830%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 19:38
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.88%E -5.81%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -3.24%E -0.719%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 19:35
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -9.88%E -5.81%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-13 19:30
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.73%EV -9.88%E -5.81%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-13 19:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 51.60%EV -10.94%E -6.51%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.52%EV -17.21%E -4.47%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.88%EV -14.62%E -4.37%K -6.22%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-13 19:30
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.44%EV -11.47%E -6.87%K -17.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -5.70%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-13 19:40
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -11.47%E -6.87%K -17.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-13 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.56%EV -11.47%E -6.87%K -17.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.91%EV -18.45%E -5.76%K -8.38%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-13 19:30
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 55.03%EV -12.53%E -7.60%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -1.08%E -0.236%K -0.301%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 19:40
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 54.25%EV -14.65%E -9.10%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.80%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.95%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-13 19:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.89%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.7%2026-03-13 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.89%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.7%2026-03-13 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.89%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.7%2026-03-13 19:40
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-03-13 19:40