La escuela de los momiosDundalk v Waterford FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Dundalk (Local)
Predicción 53.01%1.89momio equitativo
EV -3.52%
Ventaja -1.93%
Kelly -4.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.83%52.92%52.90%55.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.611.751.761.8262.11%56.99%56.82%54.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Waterford FC (Visitante)
Predicción 21.50%4.65momio equitativo
EV -0.010%
Ventaja -0.002%
Kelly -0.003%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.74%21.62%21.55%24.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.624.154.204.6527.62%24.10%23.81%21.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.49%3.92momio equitativo
EV -2.90%
Ventaja -0.761%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.57%25.46%25.54%26.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.563.553.8131.25%28.07%28.17%26.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| Unibet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| betPARX | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -5.39%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -4.43%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 19:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -4.58%E -2.54%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -17.21%E -4.47%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -3.24%E -0.719%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -3.15%E -0.830%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -3.24%E -0.719%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -3.15%E -0.830%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.99%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -10.76%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.99%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -10.76%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.55%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -17.21%E -4.47%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -12.07%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.55%EV -5.64%E -3.17%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -17.21%E -4.47%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -12.07%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.19%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.63%EV -0.010%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.18%EV -2.90%E -0.761%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -6.17%E -3.49%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -5.39%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -4.43%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.24%EV -6.70%E -3.81%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.01%EV -4.10%E -0.918%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.74%EV -7.23%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.87%EV -6.70%E -3.81%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -15.06%E -3.81%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.83%EV -6.70%E -3.81%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 24.23%EV -22.16%E -6.12%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 25.95%EV -13.86%E -4.10%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 19:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 19:35 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.23%E -4.13%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.63%EV -7.76%E -4.46%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -3.24%E -0.719%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -7.23%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 19:39 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -7.76%E -4.46%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -7.54%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-13 19:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -7.76%E -4.46%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -8.61%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 19:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -7.76%E -4.46%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.29%E -4.79%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.29%E -4.79%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.29%E -4.79%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.29%E -4.79%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.25%EV -8.82%E -5.13%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -7.54%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-13 19:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -8.82%E -5.13%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-13 19:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -9.35%E -5.47%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.24%E -0.719%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.15%E -0.830%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 19:38 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.88%E -5.81%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -3.24%E -0.719%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 19:35 |
| BetUS | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -9.88%E -5.81%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.73%EV -9.88%E -5.81%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.60%EV -10.94%E -6.51%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.52%EV -17.21%E -4.47%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.88%EV -14.62%E -4.37%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.44%EV -11.47%E -6.87%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -5.70%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -11.47%E -6.87%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.56%EV -11.47%E -6.87%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.91%EV -18.45%E -5.76%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.03%EV -12.53%E -7.60%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -1.08%E -0.236%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.25%EV -14.65%E -9.10%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.80%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.95%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.89% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84% | 0.7% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.89% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84% | 0.7% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.89% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84% | 0.7% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |