Language:English
Dundalk v St Patricks Athletic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dundalk (Local)
Prediction 26.40%3.79fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -0.630%
Kelly -0.864%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.82%26.37%26.48%27.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.443.423.7032.26%29.07%29.20%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St Patricks Athletic (Visit)
Prediction 49.30%2.03fair odd
EV -0.421%
Edge -0.208%
Kelly -0.413%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.01%49.16%49.33%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.901.882.0256.50%52.75%53.19%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.31%4.11fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.263%
Kelly -0.349%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.65%24.47%24.19%26.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.643.604.0730.77%27.49%27.78%24.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dundalk (Local): 26.40%; St Patricks Athletic (Visit): 49.30%; Draw: 24.31%. For St Patricks Athletic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.02, with an expected value of -0.421%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -2.33%E -0.630%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -11.27%E -6.26%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.22%EV -3.12%E -0.851%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -5.35%E -2.79%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.65%EV -1.07%E -0.263%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -4.97%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -7.82%E -4.18%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.12%EV -6.03%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -7.82%E -4.18%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -6.42%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-14 18:26 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -6.29%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.61%EV -5.84%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -2.77%E -0.693%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -6.29%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -8.80%E -4.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -11.28%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -6.29%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -8.80%E -4.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -11.28%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -5.84%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -3.99%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -5.84%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -3.99%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -5.84%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -3.99%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -6.34%E -3.33%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.19%EV -6.18%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 18:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -7.32%E -3.89%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-14 18:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -7.32%E -3.89%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-14 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.80%E -4.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -7.82%E -4.18%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -13.71%E -3.86%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-14 18:31 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.80%E -4.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.50%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.50%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.50%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.93%E -4.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.93%E -4.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.93%E -4.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.93%E -4.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -8.93%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.71%EV -7.32%E -3.89%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -10.07%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-14 18:41 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -10.25%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -0.421%E -0.208%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -13.71%E -3.86%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 17:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -10.25%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -0.421%E -0.208%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -13.71%E -3.86%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -10.25%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -0.421%E -0.208%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -13.71%E -3.86%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -10.25%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -0.421%E -0.208%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -13.71%E -3.86%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -10.25%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -0.421%E -0.208%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -13.71%E -3.86%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 17:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -10.25%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -0.421%E -0.208%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -13.71%E -3.86%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -10.25%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -0.421%E -0.208%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -13.71%E -3.86%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -10.25%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -0.421%E -0.208%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -13.71%E -3.86%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 17:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -10.25%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -0.421%E -0.208%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -13.71%E -3.86%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 17:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.25%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.84%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -10.07%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 18:41 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.25%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.32%E -3.89%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -10.25%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.37%EV -9.29%E -5.05%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -10.25%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.76%EV -8.80%E -4.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -11.28%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -10.25%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.50%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-14 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -10.25%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -14.93%E -4.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -11.57%E -3.45%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.14%EV -10.28%E -5.65%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -10.07%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-14 18:31 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -11.57%E -3.45%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.88%EV -11.76%E -6.57%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -14.93%E -4.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.98%EV -11.57%E -3.45%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.16%EV -12.74%E -7.20%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -14.93%E -4.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -14.21%E -4.37%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -3.87%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -17.36%E -5.11%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-14 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -14.21%E -4.37%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -3.87%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -17.36%E -5.11%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-14 17:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -14.21%E -4.37%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.14%EV -4.36%E -2.25%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -17.36%E -5.11%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -15.53%E -4.85%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.02%EV -5.35%E -2.79%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -18.57%E -5.54%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-14 17:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -18.17%E -5.86%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.17%EV -8.80%E -4.76%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.28%EV -21.00%E -6.46%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-09-14 17:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.94% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 18:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18% | 0.9% | 2026-09-14 18:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18% | 0.9% | 2026-09-14 18:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64% | 1.5% | 2026-09-14 18:41 |