Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Dundalk v St Patricks Athletic

Início: 2026-09-14 18:45 UTC

Final: Dundalk 0–4 St Patricks Athletic

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Dundalk (Local)

Previsão 26.40%3.79odd justa
EV -2.33%
Vantagem -0.630%
Kelly -0.864%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.82%26.37%26.48%27.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.443.423.7032.26%29.07%29.20%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St Patricks Athletic (Visitante)

Previsão 49.30%2.03odd justa
EV -0.421%
Vantagem -0.208%
Kelly -0.413%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.01%49.16%49.33%51.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.771.901.882.0256.50%52.75%53.19%49.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.31%4.11odd justa
EV -1.07%
Vantagem -0.263%
Kelly -0.349%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.65%24.47%24.19%26.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.643.604.0730.77%27.49%27.78%24.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Dundalk (Local): 26.40%; St Patricks Athletic (Visitante): 49.30%; Empate: 24.31%. Para St Patricks Athletic (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.03. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.02, com valor esperado de -0.421%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -2.33%E -0.630%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -11.27%E -6.26%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-14 18:30
Pinnacle🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 26.22%EV -3.12%E -0.851%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -5.35%E -2.79%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.65%EV -1.07%E -0.263%K -0.349%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-14 18:30
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -4.97%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -7.82%E -4.18%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-14 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 26.12%EV -6.03%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -7.82%E -4.18%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -6.42%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 18:26
DraftKings🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -6.29%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.61%EV -5.84%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -2.77%E -0.693%K -0.924%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 18:30
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -6.29%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -8.80%E -4.76%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -11.28%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 18:30
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -6.29%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -8.80%E -4.76%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -11.28%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -5.84%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -3.99%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -5.84%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -3.99%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 18:30
BetAnything🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -5.84%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -3.99%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 18:30
1xBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -6.34%E -3.33%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.19%EV -6.18%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 18:39
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -7.32%E -3.89%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-14 18:39
BetUS🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -7.32%E -3.89%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-14 18:40
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.80%E -4.76%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-14 18:35
PlayUp🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -7.82%E -4.18%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -13.71%E -3.86%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 18:31
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.80%E -4.76%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.50%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-14 18:35
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.50%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-14 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.50%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-14 18:30
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.93%E -4.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-14 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.93%E -4.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-14 18:35
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.93%E -4.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-14 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.93%E -4.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-14 18:35
Bet Right🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -8.93%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.71%EV -7.32%E -3.89%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -10.07%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 18:41
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -10.25%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -0.421%E -0.208%K -0.413%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -13.71%E -3.86%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 17:50
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -10.25%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -0.421%E -0.208%K -0.413%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -13.71%E -3.86%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 17:50
TABtouch🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -10.25%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -0.421%E -0.208%K -0.413%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -13.71%E -3.86%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -10.25%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -0.421%E -0.208%K -0.413%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -13.71%E -3.86%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -10.25%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -0.421%E -0.208%K -0.413%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -13.71%E -3.86%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 17:50
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -10.25%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -0.421%E -0.208%K -0.413%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -13.71%E -3.86%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -10.25%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -0.421%E -0.208%K -0.413%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -13.71%E -3.86%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -10.25%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -0.421%E -0.208%K -0.413%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -13.71%E -3.86%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 17:50
betPARX🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -10.25%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -0.421%E -0.208%K -0.413%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -13.71%E -3.86%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 17:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.25%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -5.84%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -10.07%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 18:41
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.25%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.32%E -3.89%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-14 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -10.25%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.37%EV -9.29%E -5.05%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-14 18:30
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -10.25%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.76%EV -8.80%E -4.76%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -11.28%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-14 18:30
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -10.25%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.50%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-14 18:40
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -10.25%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -14.93%E -4.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -11.57%E -3.45%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.14%EV -10.28%E -5.65%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -10.07%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-14 18:31
SportsBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -11.57%E -3.45%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 48.88%EV -11.76%E -6.57%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -14.93%E -4.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-14 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 25.98%EV -11.57%E -3.45%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.16%EV -12.74%E -7.20%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -14.93%E -4.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-14 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -14.21%E -4.37%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -3.87%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -17.36%E -5.11%K -7.23%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -14.21%E -4.37%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -3.87%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -17.36%E -5.11%K -7.23%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 17:50
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -14.21%E -4.37%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.14%EV -4.36%E -2.25%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -17.36%E -5.11%K -7.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -15.53%E -4.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.02%EV -5.35%E -2.79%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -18.57%E -5.54%K -7.90%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-14 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -18.17%E -5.86%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 46.17%EV -8.80%E -4.76%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.28%EV -21.00%E -6.46%K -9.33%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-14 17:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%0.6%2026-09-14 18:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%0.9%2026-09-14 18:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%0.9%2026-09-14 18:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.5%2026-09-14 18:41