Language:English
Drogheda United v St Patricks Athletic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Drogheda United (Local)
Prediction 18.65%5.36fair odd
EV +2.56%
Edge +0.465%
Kelly +0.568%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.76%18.54%18.79%19.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.844.755.5022.22%20.65%21.05%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St Patricks Athletic (Visit)
Prediction 55.99%1.79fair odd
EV -4.81%
Edge -2.83%
Kelly -6.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.34%56.10%55.81%57.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.631.631.7064.94%61.30%61.35%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.36%3.94fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -0.615%
Kelly -0.831%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.24%25.36%25.40%26.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.593.603.8530.30%27.82%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Drogheda United (Local): 18.65%; St Patricks Athletic (Visit): 55.99%; Draw: 25.36%. For Drogheda United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.36. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.56%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.56%E +0.465%K +0.568%G +0.015% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -10.41%E -6.51%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.75%EV +0.691%E +0.128%K +0.157%G +0.001% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.70%EV -5.37%E -3.18%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.55%EV -4.90%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-21 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -1.17%E -0.222%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.21%EV -6.49%E -3.89%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 18:18 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -3.04%E -0.584%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.52%EV -7.61%E -4.61%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 18:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.25%EV -4.34%E -0.847%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.39%EV -7.05%E -4.25%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.37%EV -6.43%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-21 18:33 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -4.90%E -0.961%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.57%EV -9.29%E -5.73%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-21 17:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -4.90%E -0.961%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.57%EV -9.29%E -5.73%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-21 17:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -2.37%E -0.615%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 15:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.91%EV -5.37%E -3.18%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -4.90%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.57%EV -9.29%E -5.73%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.11%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-21 18:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.49%E -3.89%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -13.78%E -4.05%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-21 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -9.29%E -5.73%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -9.29%E -5.73%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.69%EV -5.37%E -3.18%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -4.90%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-21 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-21 18:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-21 18:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-21 18:38 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.13%EV -9.56%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.10%EV -13.77%E -8.94%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -9.98%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.82%EV -10.41%E -6.51%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -4.90%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-21 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.94%EV -9.29%E -5.73%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-21 07:08 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -10.41%E -6.51%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-21 18:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -9.29%E -5.73%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -13.78%E -4.05%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-21 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.27%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.16%EV -10.97%E -6.90%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -16.32%E -4.94%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.49%E -3.89%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-21 15:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.49%E -3.89%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-21 18:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -7.61%E -4.61%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-21 15:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.87%EV -8.73%E -5.36%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 14:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.87%EV -8.73%E -5.36%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 14:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.87%EV -8.73%E -5.36%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 14:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.87%EV -8.73%E -5.36%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 14:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.87%EV -8.73%E -5.36%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 14:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.87%EV -8.73%E -5.36%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 14:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.87%EV -8.73%E -5.36%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 14:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.87%EV -8.73%E -5.36%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 14:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.87%EV -8.73%E -5.36%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 14:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -7.61%E -4.61%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 18:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -12.36%E -2.63%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.87%EV -9.85%E -6.12%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.99%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-21 14:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -12.36%E -2.63%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.53%EV -11.53%E -7.30%K -19.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.47%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-21 17:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.34%EV -6.49%E -3.89%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 15:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.29%E -5.73%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-21 07:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.29%E -5.73%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-21 07:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.85%E -6.12%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-21 07:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.85%E -6.12%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-21 07:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.07%EV -12.09%E -7.70%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.80%EV -9.98%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-21 14:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.07%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.87%EV -12.09%E -7.70%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-21 14:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.07%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.87%EV -12.09%E -7.70%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-21 14:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.06%EV -16.09%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 55.71%EV -13.77%E -8.94%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.23%EV -13.78%E -4.05%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-08-21 14:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.26% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 1.0% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.26% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 1.0% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.26% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 1.0% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.26% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 1.0% | 2026-08-21 18:30 |