Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Drogheda United v St Patricks Athletic

Início: 2026-08-21 18:45 UTC

Final: Drogheda United 0–2 St Patricks Athletic

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Drogheda United (Local)

Previsão 18.65%5.36odd justa
EV +2.56%
Vantagem +0.465%
Kelly +0.568%
Crescimento +0.015%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.76%18.54%18.79%19.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.504.844.755.5022.22%20.65%21.05%18.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St Patricks Athletic (Visitante)

Previsão 55.99%1.79odd justa
EV -4.81%
Vantagem -2.83%
Kelly -6.87%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.34%56.10%55.81%57.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.541.631.631.7064.94%61.30%61.35%58.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.36%3.94odd justa
EV -2.37%
Vantagem -0.615%
Kelly -0.831%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.24%25.36%25.40%26.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.593.603.8530.30%27.82%27.78%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Drogheda United (Local): 18.65%; St Patricks Athletic (Visitante): 55.99%; Empate: 25.36%. Para Drogheda United (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.36. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.56%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +2.56%E +0.465%K +0.568%G +0.015%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -10.41%E -6.51%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 18:30
Pinnacle🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.75%EV +0.691%E +0.128%K +0.157%G +0.001%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.70%EV -5.37%E -3.18%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.55%EV -4.90%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 18:40
FanDuel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -1.17%E -0.222%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.21%EV -6.49%E -3.89%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 18:18
Marathon Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -3.04%E -0.584%K -0.723%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.52%EV -7.61%E -4.61%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 18:39
1xBet🎯5.13I 19.49%NM 18.25%EV -4.34%E -0.847%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.39%EV -7.05%E -4.25%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.37%EV -6.43%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 18:33
NordicBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -4.90%E -0.961%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.57%EV -9.29%E -5.73%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-21 17:54
Betsson🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -4.90%E -0.961%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.57%EV -9.29%E -5.73%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-21 17:55
Coolbet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -2.37%E -0.615%K -0.831%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 15:34
DraftKings🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.91%EV -5.37%E -3.18%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -4.90%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 18:30
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.57%EV -9.29%E -5.73%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.11%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-21 18:34
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.49%E -3.89%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -13.78%E -4.05%K -5.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-21 18:40
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -9.29%E -5.73%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -9.29%E -5.73%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 18:30
BetUS🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.69%EV -5.37%E -3.18%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -4.90%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-21 18:39
LowVig.ag🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-21 18:39
BetAnything🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-21 18:38
Unibet (FR)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 18.13%EV -9.56%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.10%EV -13.77%E -8.94%K -25.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -9.98%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-21 18:19
Winamax (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.82%EV -10.41%E -6.51%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -4.90%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-21 18:00
BetMGM🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.94%EV -9.29%E -5.73%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 07:08
LeoVegas🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -10.41%E -6.51%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-21 18:29
Sky Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -9.29%E -5.73%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -13.78%E -4.05%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-21 18:20
SportsBet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.27%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 55.16%EV -10.97%E -6.90%K -18.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -16.32%E -4.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-21 18:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.49%E -3.89%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-21 15:35
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.49%E -3.89%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-21 18:29
Bet Right🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -7.61%E -4.61%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-21 15:35
betPARX🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.87%EV -8.73%E -5.36%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 14:44
Svenska Spel🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.87%EV -8.73%E -5.36%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 14:44
TABtouch🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.87%EV -8.73%E -5.36%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 14:44
Grosvenor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.87%EV -8.73%E -5.36%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 14:44
Casumo🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.87%EV -8.73%E -5.36%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 14:45
Unibet (NL)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.87%EV -8.73%E -5.36%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 14:44
Unibet (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.87%EV -8.73%E -5.36%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 14:44
ATG (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.87%EV -8.73%E -5.36%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 14:44
Unibet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.87%EV -8.73%E -5.36%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 14:44
PlayUp🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -7.61%E -4.61%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 18:39
BetRivers🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -12.36%E -2.63%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.87%EV -9.85%E -6.12%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.99%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-21 14:44
Winamax (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -12.36%E -2.63%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.53%EV -11.53%E -7.30%K -19.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.47%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-21 17:55
betfred_uk🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.34%EV -6.49%E -3.89%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 15:34
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.29%E -5.73%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-21 07:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.29%E -5.73%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-21 07:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.85%E -6.12%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-21 07:09
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.85%E -6.12%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-21 07:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.07%EV -12.09%E -7.70%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.80%EV -9.98%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-21 14:45
Virgin Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.07%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 55.87%EV -12.09%E -7.70%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-21 14:44
LiveScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.07%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 55.87%EV -12.09%E -7.70%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-21 14:44
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.06%EV -16.09%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 55.71%EV -13.77%E -8.94%K -25.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.23%EV -13.78%E -4.05%K -5.74%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-21 14:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.26%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-08-21 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.26%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-08-21 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.26%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-08-21 18:30
Matchbook◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.26%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-08-21 18:30