Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.84
assuming max odds 4.75
assuming max odds 3.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Drogheda United (Local): 53.53%; Sligo Rovers (Visit): 21.11%; Draw: 25.37%. For Sligo Rovers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.74. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.261%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV +0.261%E +0.055%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -4.87%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -9.01%E -5.30%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV +0.261%E +0.055%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.61%E -0.949%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 18:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -10.61%E -6.35%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -0.795%E -0.169%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 12:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.60%EV -8.47%E -4.95%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -2.91%E -0.632%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.10%EV -5.64%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.19%EV -7.40%E -4.28%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.61%EV -3.96%E -0.870%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.20%EV -5.64%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 15:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.01%E -5.30%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -5.02%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 09:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -8.47%E -4.95%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -5.02%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -9.95%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -10.61%E -6.35%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -5.02%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-07 14:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -8.47%E -4.95%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -5.02%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.22%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -8.47%E -4.95%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -7.13%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 09:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -8.47%E -4.95%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -7.13%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 09:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -8.47%E -4.95%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -7.13%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 09:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -8.47%E -4.95%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -7.13%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.03%EV -6.87%E -3.95%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -7.13%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -9.95%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 14:21 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.51%EV -7.94%E -4.61%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -7.13%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -15.02%E -4.48%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 20:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%EV -13.29%E -8.20%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.11%EV -7.13%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.22%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-07 17:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -2.34%E -0.607%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.95%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -6.87%E -3.95%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -8.60%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.22%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-08 13:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -8.60%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -13.75%E -4.04%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -10.61%E -6.35%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -8.60%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -11.22%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -10.61%E -6.35%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -8.60%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -11.22%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-08 18:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.51%EV -6.87%E -3.95%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -9.24%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -4.87%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -7.94%E -4.61%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -9.24%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -11.22%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -7.94%E -4.61%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -9.24%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -11.22%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.01%E -5.30%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -11.35%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.75%E -4.04%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 13:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.01%E -5.30%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -11.35%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.75%E -4.04%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 13:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.01%E -5.30%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -11.35%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.75%E -4.04%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.01%E -5.30%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -11.35%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.75%E -4.04%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 13:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.84%EV -1.51%E -0.822%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -13.46%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -9.95%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -2.05%E -1.12%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -13.46%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -9.95%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -2.05%E -1.12%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -13.46%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -9.95%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -2.05%E -1.12%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -13.46%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -9.95%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -2.05%E -1.12%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -13.46%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -9.95%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -2.05%E -1.12%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -13.46%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -9.95%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -2.05%E -1.12%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -13.46%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -9.95%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -2.05%E -1.12%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -13.46%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -9.95%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -2.05%E -1.12%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -13.46%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -9.95%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.00%EV -9.01%E -5.30%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -13.46%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-09 12:21 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.63%EV -13.29%E -8.20%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.19%EV -13.46%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.18%EV -12.48%E -3.62%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-09 12:21 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.40%E -4.28%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -15.57%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -3.61%E -0.949%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 10:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.82%EV -10.08%E -6.00%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -15.57%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.00%EV -9.95%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-09 12:21 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.50%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.22%EV -18.74%E -4.87%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.75%E -4.04%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.44%EV -5.80%E -3.29%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -18.74%E -4.87%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -15.02%E -4.48%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.37%EV -6.87%E -3.95%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -19.79%E -5.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -16.29%E -4.94%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.37%EV -6.87%E -3.95%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -19.79%E -5.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -16.29%E -4.94%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.44%EV -9.01%E -5.30%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.18%EV -21.90%E -5.92%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.38%EV -17.56%E -5.40%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.36% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 14:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.36% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 14:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.36% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 14:20 |