Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Drogheda United v Sligo Rovers

2026-09-11 18:45 UTC — League of Ireland

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Drogheda United (Local)

Prediction 53.45%1.87fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.903%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.37%53.40%53.41%55.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.741.731.8462.50%57.31%57.80%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sligo Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 21.66%4.62fair odd
EV +2.90%
Edge +0.610%
Kelly +0.772%
Growth +0.022%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.02%21.58%21.69%23.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.164.104.7527.03%24.04%24.39%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.89%4.02fair odd
EV -4.16%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.40%25.03%24.90%26.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.583.553.8530.77%27.90%28.17%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Drogheda United (Local): 53.45%; Sligo Rovers (Visit): 21.66%; Draw: 24.89%. For Sligo Rovers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.62. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.75, producing a positive expected value of +2.90%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.28%EV -8.07%E -4.69%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV +2.90%E +0.610%K +0.772%G +0.022%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -4.16%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-05 23:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.57%EV -8.61%E -5.03%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -2.52%E -0.560%K -0.720%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.69%EV -5.91%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -10.21%E -6.08%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -2.52%E -0.560%K -0.720%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.14%E -2.50%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -10.75%E -6.44%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -2.52%E -0.560%K -0.720%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -12.88%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-05 23:05
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -7.54%E -4.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.02%EV -3.39%E -0.759%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.80%EV -5.91%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -9.14%E -5.38%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -4.69%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-05 23:04
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.47%E -3.70%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -5.77%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.16%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-05 23:05
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -9.14%E -5.38%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -6.20%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:05
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -7.01%E -4.03%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -6.85%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-05 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.48%EV -7.54%E -4.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -6.85%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-05 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.48%EV -7.54%E -4.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -6.85%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -7.54%E -4.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -9.02%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.07%E -4.69%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.02%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.90%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -8.07%E -4.69%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -9.02%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-05 23:03
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -8.07%E -4.69%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -9.02%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.84%EV -1.66%E -0.903%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -2.20%E -1.20%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -2.20%E -1.20%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -2.20%E -1.20%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -2.20%E -1.20%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -2.20%E -1.20%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -2.20%E -1.20%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -2.20%E -1.20%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -2.20%E -1.20%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.85%EV -14.49%E -9.05%K -24.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.54%EV -13.35%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.62%EV -12.88%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.00%EV -11.28%E -6.80%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -15.52%E -3.98%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -10.39%E -2.89%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-05 23:05
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.50%EV -5.40%E -3.05%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.22%EV -16.60%E -4.31%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -15.36%E -4.52%K -6.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.44%EV -5.94%E -3.37%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -16.60%E -4.31%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -16.61%E -4.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.37%EV -7.01%E -4.03%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -17.68%E -4.65%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -17.85%E -5.41%K -7.76%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.37%EV -7.01%E -4.03%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -17.68%E -4.65%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -17.85%E -5.41%K -7.76%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 52.81%EV -12.35%E -7.53%K -19.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -17.68%E -4.65%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.40%EV -11.63%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-05 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.44%EV -9.14%E -5.38%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.18%EV -19.85%E -5.36%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.38%EV -19.10%E -5.88%K -8.49%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.