Language:English
Drogheda United v Shelbourne Dublin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Drogheda United (Local)
Prediction 26.71%3.74fair odd
EV -0.896%
Edge -0.241%
Kelly -0.331%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.55%26.77%26.62%28.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.403.403.7132.26%29.39%29.41%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shelbourne Dublin (Visit)
Prediction 43.54%2.30fair odd
EV -5.52%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -4.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.64%43.49%43.65%44.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.102.102.1751.02%47.56%47.62%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.75%3.36fair odd
EV -0.643%
Edge -0.193%
Kelly -0.275%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.97%29.75%29.73%30.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.073.053.3435.71%32.53%32.79%29.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Drogheda United (Local): 26.71%; Shelbourne Dublin (Visit): 43.54%; Draw: 29.75%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.34, with an expected value of -0.643%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.94%EV -0.896%E -0.241%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.52%E -2.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV -3.62%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-27 19:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -3.83%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.84%EV -5.52%E -2.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 19:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.83%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -4.90%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.96%EV -7.70%E -3.63%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -7.19%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 19:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.17%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.35%EV -5.52%E -2.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.77%EV -6.00%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 19:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.35%EV -5.52%E -2.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.77%EV -6.00%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 19:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-27 19:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-27 19:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -7.84%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-27 19:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -7.84%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -7.84%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -7.84%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.12%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-27 19:18 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.90%EV -6.82%E -3.19%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 19:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.90%EV -6.82%E -3.19%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 19:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.90%EV -6.82%E -3.19%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 19:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.90%EV -6.82%E -3.19%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 19:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.90%EV -6.82%E -3.19%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 19:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.90%EV -6.82%E -3.19%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 19:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.90%EV -6.82%E -3.19%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 19:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.90%EV -6.82%E -3.19%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 19:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.90%EV -6.82%E -3.19%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 19:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.90%EV -6.82%E -3.19%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 19:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.90%EV -6.82%E -3.19%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 19:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-27 19:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.73%E -4.74%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-02-27 19:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.55%EV -9.44%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.48%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.97%EV -0.643%E -0.193%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.51%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.51%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.51%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -10.51%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -7.70%E -3.63%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-27 19:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -10.51%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-27 19:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -10.51%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-27 19:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-27 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-27 19:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-27 19:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-27 19:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -12.92%E -6.46%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -16.71%E -5.97%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -13.18%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.98%EV -14.52%E -4.54%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.05%EV -14.66%E -7.48%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 28.97%EV -11.35%E -3.81%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-02-27 19:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.31%EV -15.85%E -5.03%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.02%EV -12.92%E -6.46%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.67%EV -13.73%E -4.74%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -17.19%E -5.55%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 1.3% | 2026-02-27 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 1.3% | 2026-02-27 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 1.3% | 2026-02-27 19:34 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.03% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35% | 1.4% | 2026-02-27 19:30 |