La escuela de los momios

Drogheda United v Shelbourne Dublin

Inicio: 2026-02-27 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Drogheda United (Local)

Predicción 26.71%3.74momio equitativo
EV -0.896%
Ventaja -0.241%
Kelly -0.331%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.55%26.77%26.62%28.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.403.403.7132.26%29.39%29.41%26.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shelbourne Dublin (Visitante)

Predicción 43.54%2.30momio equitativo
EV -5.52%
Ventaja -2.54%
Kelly -4.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.64%43.49%43.65%44.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.962.102.102.1751.02%47.56%47.62%46.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.75%3.36momio equitativo
EV -0.643%
Ventaja -0.193%
Kelly -0.275%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.97%29.75%29.73%30.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.073.053.3435.71%32.53%32.79%29.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.71I 26.95%NM 25.94%EV -0.896%E -0.241%K -0.331%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.52%E -2.54%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV -3.62%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 19:40
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -3.83%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.84%EV -5.52%E -2.54%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 19:30
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.83%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-27 19:34
Marathon Bet3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -4.90%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.96%EV -7.70%E -3.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -7.19%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 19:24
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.17%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 19:39
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.35%EV -5.52%E -2.54%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.77%EV -6.00%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 19:30
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.35%EV -5.52%E -2.54%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.77%EV -6.00%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 19:29
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 19:39
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 19:34
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 19:34
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 19:30
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-27 19:29
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -7.84%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 19:30
BetUS3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -7.84%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 19:39
BetAnything3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -7.84%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 19:39
Everygame3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -7.84%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.12%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-27 19:18
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.90%EV -6.82%E -3.19%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:09
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.90%EV -6.82%E -3.19%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:10
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.90%EV -6.82%E -3.19%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:10
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.90%EV -6.82%E -3.19%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:10
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.90%EV -6.82%E -3.19%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:10
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.90%EV -6.82%E -3.19%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:09
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.90%EV -6.82%E -3.19%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:09
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.90%EV -6.82%E -3.19%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:10
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.90%EV -6.82%E -3.19%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:09
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.90%EV -6.82%E -3.19%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:09
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.90%EV -6.82%E -3.19%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:09
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-27 19:25
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -9.18%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.73%E -4.74%K -7.23%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-27 19:29
1xBet3.39I 29.50%NM 27.55%EV -9.44%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.48%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.97%EV -0.643%E -0.193%K -0.275%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 19:39
Unibet (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.51%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:19
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.51%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:19
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.51%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -10.51%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -7.70%E -3.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 19:10
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -10.51%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-27 19:09
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -10.51%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-27 19:09
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 19:19
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-27 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-27 19:24
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-27 19:25
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-27 19:25
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -11.85%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -12.92%E -6.46%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -16.71%E -5.97%K -9.28%G +0.000%16.0%2026-02-27 19:19
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -13.18%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 19:19
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 26.98%EV -14.52%E -4.54%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.05%EV -14.66%E -7.48%K -15.27%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.97%EV -11.35%E -3.81%K -5.73%G +0.000%15.8%2026-02-27 19:25
Parions Sport (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.31%EV -15.85%E -5.03%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.02%EV -12.92%E -6.46%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.67%EV -13.73%E -4.74%K -7.23%G +0.000%16.2%2026-02-27 19:19
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -17.19%E -5.55%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-27 19:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.3%2026-02-27 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.3%2026-02-27 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.3%2026-02-27 19:34
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.03%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%1.4%2026-02-27 19:30