Language:English
Drogheda United v Shamrock Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Drogheda United (Local)
Prediction 25.41%3.94fair odd
EV +4.19%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.057%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.49%25.23%25.55%27.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.723.654.1029.85%26.86%27.40%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shamrock Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 46.45%2.15fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.51%46.69%46.35%50.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.931.952.1057.14%51.78%51.28%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.14%3.55fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.435%
Kelly -0.608%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.10%28.08%28.10%28.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.283.283.5032.79%30.46%30.49%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Drogheda United (Local): 25.41%; Shamrock Rovers (Visit): 46.45%; Draw: 28.14%. For Drogheda United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.94. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.19%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV +4.19%E +1.02%K +1.35%G +0.057% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.25%EV -14.53%E -7.90%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +4.19%E +1.02%K +1.35%G +0.057% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -15.00%E -8.19%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +4.19%E +1.02%K +1.35%G +0.057% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -15.00%E -8.19%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +4.19%E +1.02%K +1.35%G +0.057% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -15.00%E -8.19%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-31 18:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +4.19%E +1.02%K +1.35%G +0.057% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -15.00%E -8.19%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-31 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +4.19%E +1.02%K +1.35%G +0.057% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -15.00%E -8.19%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-31 18:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +4.19%E +1.02%K +1.35%G +0.057% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -15.00%E -8.19%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +4.19%E +1.02%K +1.35%G +0.057% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -15.00%E -8.19%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-31 18:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +4.19%E +1.02%K +1.35%G +0.057% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -15.00%E -8.19%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-31 18:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +4.19%E +1.02%K +1.35%G +0.057% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -15.00%E -8.19%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-31 18:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV +1.65%E +0.413%K +0.550%G +0.009% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.18%EV -15.92%E -8.80%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%EV +1.65%E +0.413%K +0.550%G +0.009% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.25%EV -16.85%E -9.42%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%EV +1.65%E +0.413%K +0.550%G +0.009% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.25%EV -16.85%E -9.42%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-31 18:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.58%EV -0.891%E -0.228%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.32%EV -18.71%E -10.69%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.89%EV -1.91%E -0.494%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.42%EV -3.85%E -1.86%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.68%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-31 18:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -2.16%E -0.561%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -11.28%E -5.91%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-31 18:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -2.16%E -0.561%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -11.28%E -5.91%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-31 18:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.43%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.42%E -4.83%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-31 18:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.43%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.42%E -4.83%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-31 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.88%EV -7.56%E -3.80%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -7.71%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-31 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.70%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.10%E -3.55%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -1.52%E -0.435%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 18:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -5.97%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -11.28%E -5.91%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-31 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -5.97%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -11.28%E -5.91%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-31 18:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -7.24%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.01%EV -4.78%E -2.33%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-31 18:58 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -7.24%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.25%EV -3.38%E -1.63%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -7.24%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.25%EV -3.38%E -1.63%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 18:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -7.24%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.25%EV -3.38%E -1.63%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 18:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.51%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.78%E -2.33%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-31 18:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.51%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.10%E -3.55%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-31 18:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.51%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.10%E -3.55%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-31 18:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -8.51%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.21%EV -9.89%E -5.10%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-31 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.51%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.42%E -4.83%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-31 18:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -8.51%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -9.42%E -4.83%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -11.37%E -3.61%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-31 18:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -8.51%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -11.28%E -5.91%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.78%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-31 18:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.79%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.29%EV -7.10%E -3.55%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-31 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -9.79%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -6.17%E -3.05%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-31 18:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -11.06%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.98%EV -8.03%E -4.05%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-31 18:38 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.06%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.28%E -5.91%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-31 18:33 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -11.06%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.30%EV -12.21%E -6.46%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -14.18%E -4.65%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-31 18:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -12.33%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.00%EV -8.03%E -4.05%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-31 18:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -12.33%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.18%EV -9.42%E -4.83%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-31 18:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.41%EV -13.34%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.51%EV -2.45%E -1.17%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.07%EV -6.30%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 18:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.60%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -7.10%E -3.55%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-31 18:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -13.60%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.42%E -4.83%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-31 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -13.60%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.42%E -4.83%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-31 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -13.60%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.42%E -4.83%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-31 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -13.60%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.42%E -4.83%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-31 18:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -13.60%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.66%EV -10.35%E -5.36%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -12.78%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-31 18:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -14.87%E -4.44%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.15%EV -9.89%E -5.10%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-31 18:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 1.2% | 2026-07-31 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.30% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11% | 1.6% | 2026-07-31 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.30% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11% | 1.6% | 2026-07-31 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.30% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11% | 1.6% | 2026-07-31 18:40 |
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