The School of Odds

Drogheda United v Shamrock Rovers

2026-07-31 19:00 UTC — League of Ireland

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Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Drogheda United (Local)

Prediction 21.71%4.61fair odd
EV -6.65%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.49%21.71%21.71%23.04%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.654.194.254.3027%24%24%23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Shamrock Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 51.55%1.94fair odd
EV -6.19%
Edge -3.40%
Kelly -7.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.67%51.55%51.55%51.92%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.661.761.791.8260%57%56%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 26.74%3.74fair odd
EV -6.40%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.96%26.74%26.74%26.84%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.203.413.453.5031%29%29%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -6.65%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.68%EV -7.73%E -4.32%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 19:30
Casumo4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -6.65%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.68%EV -7.73%E -4.32%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 19:30
TABtouch4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -6.65%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.68%EV -7.73%E -4.32%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 19:30
Unibet (NL)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -6.65%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.68%EV -7.73%E -4.32%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 19:30
Unibet (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -6.65%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.68%EV -7.73%E -4.32%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 19:30
Grosvenor4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -6.65%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.68%EV -7.73%E -4.32%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 19:30
ATG (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -6.65%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.68%EV -7.73%E -4.32%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 19:30
Svenska Spel4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -6.65%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.68%EV -7.73%E -4.32%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 19:30
betPARX4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -6.65%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.68%EV -7.73%E -4.32%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 19:30
NordicBet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -7.73%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -7.22%E -4.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 19:30
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -7.73%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -7.22%E -4.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 19:30
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -7.73%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.69%EV -8.25%E -4.63%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 19:30
1xBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -6.19%E -3.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.63%EV -9.28%E -5.27%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-24 19:30
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.92%EV -10.31%E -5.92%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-24 19:30
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -8.82%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.92%EV -10.31%E -5.92%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-24 19:30
PMU (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.49%EV -10.99%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.82%EV -12.37%E -7.28%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-24 19:30
Unibet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.03%EV -15.33%E -3.93%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.13%EV -13.40%E -7.98%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.84%EV -14.42%E -4.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%16.4%2026-07-24 19:30
Winamax (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 22.89%EV -17.50%E -4.61%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.16%EV -12.37%E -7.28%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.96%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-24 19:39
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 23.04%EV -20.76%E -5.69%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 50.67%EV -14.43%E -8.69%K -21.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.29%EV -14.42%E -4.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-24 19:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.