Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Drogheda United v Shamrock Rovers

Início: 2026-07-31 19:00 UTC

Final: Drogheda United 0–0 Shamrock Rovers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Drogheda United (Local)

Previsão 25.41%3.94odd justa
EV +4.19%
Vantagem +1.02%
Kelly +1.35%
Crescimento +0.057%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.49%25.23%25.55%27.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.353.723.654.1029.85%26.86%27.40%24.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Shamrock Rovers (Visitante)

Previsão 46.45%2.15odd justa
EV -2.45%
Vantagem -1.17%
Kelly -2.23%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.51%46.69%46.35%50.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.931.952.1057.14%51.78%51.28%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.14%3.55odd justa
EV -1.52%
Vantagem -0.435%
Kelly -0.608%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.10%28.08%28.10%28.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.283.283.5032.79%30.46%30.49%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Drogheda United (Local): 25.41%; Shamrock Rovers (Visitante): 46.45%; Empate: 28.14%. Para Drogheda United (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.94. 13 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.10, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.19%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV +4.19%E +1.02%K +1.35%G +0.057%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.25%EV -14.53%E -7.90%K -17.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-31 18:20
Casumo🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +4.19%E +1.02%K +1.35%G +0.057%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -15.00%E -8.19%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-31 18:20
BetRivers🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +4.19%E +1.02%K +1.35%G +0.057%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -15.00%E -8.19%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-31 18:20
TABtouch🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +4.19%E +1.02%K +1.35%G +0.057%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -15.00%E -8.19%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-31 18:19
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +4.19%E +1.02%K +1.35%G +0.057%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -15.00%E -8.19%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-31 18:19
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +4.19%E +1.02%K +1.35%G +0.057%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -15.00%E -8.19%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-31 18:19
Grosvenor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +4.19%E +1.02%K +1.35%G +0.057%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -15.00%E -8.19%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-31 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +4.19%E +1.02%K +1.35%G +0.057%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -15.00%E -8.19%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-31 18:19
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +4.19%E +1.02%K +1.35%G +0.057%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -15.00%E -8.19%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-31 18:19
betPARX🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +4.19%E +1.02%K +1.35%G +0.057%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -15.00%E -8.19%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-31 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV +1.65%E +0.413%K +0.550%G +0.009%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.18%EV -15.92%E -8.80%K -19.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-31 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%EV +1.65%E +0.413%K +0.550%G +0.009%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.25%EV -16.85%E -9.42%K -21.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-31 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%EV +1.65%E +0.413%K +0.550%G +0.009%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.25%EV -16.85%E -9.42%K -21.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-31 18:19
PMU (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.58%EV -0.891%E -0.228%K -0.307%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.32%EV -18.71%E -10.69%K -24.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-31 18:20
Pinnacle🎯3.86I 25.91%NM 24.89%EV -1.91%E -0.494%K -0.667%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.42%EV -3.85%E -1.86%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.68%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 18:59
Bovada🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -2.16%E -0.561%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -11.28%E -5.91%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-31 18:54
BetUS🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -2.16%E -0.561%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -11.28%E -5.91%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-31 18:54
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.43%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.42%E -4.83%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-31 18:49
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.43%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.42%E -4.83%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-31 18:39
Marathon Bet🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.88%EV -7.56%E -3.80%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -7.71%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-31 18:59
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.70%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.10%E -3.55%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -1.52%E -0.435%K -0.608%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 18:34
Paddy Power🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -5.97%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -11.28%E -5.91%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-31 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -5.97%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -11.28%E -5.91%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-31 18:49
DraftKings🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -7.24%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.01%EV -4.78%E -2.33%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 18:58
LowVig.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -7.24%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.25%EV -3.38%E -1.63%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 18:44
BetOnline.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -7.24%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.25%EV -3.38%E -1.63%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 18:44
BetAnything🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -7.24%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.25%EV -3.38%E -1.63%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 18:44
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.51%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.78%E -2.33%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-31 18:59
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.51%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.10%E -3.55%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-31 18:34
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.51%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.10%E -3.55%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-31 18:30
Bet Right🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -8.51%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.21%EV -9.89%E -5.10%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-31 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.51%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.42%E -4.83%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-31 18:45
Everygame🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -8.51%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -9.42%E -4.83%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -11.37%E -3.61%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-31 18:59
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -8.51%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -11.28%E -5.91%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.78%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-31 18:49
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.79%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.29%EV -7.10%E -3.55%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 18:05
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -9.79%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -6.17%E -3.05%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-31 18:59
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -11.06%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.98%EV -8.03%E -4.05%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-31 18:38
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.06%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.28%E -5.91%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-31 18:33
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -11.06%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.30%EV -12.21%E -6.46%K -13.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -14.18%E -4.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-31 18:49
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -12.33%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.00%EV -8.03%E -4.05%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-31 18:59
LeoVegas🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -12.33%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.18%EV -9.42%E -4.83%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-31 18:29
1xBet🎯3.41I 29.33%NM 27.41%EV -13.34%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.51%EV -2.45%E -1.17%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.07%EV -6.30%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 18:59
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.60%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -7.10%E -3.55%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-31 18:34
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -13.60%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.42%E -4.83%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-31 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -13.60%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.42%E -4.83%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-31 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -13.60%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.42%E -4.83%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-31 18:35
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -13.60%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.42%E -4.83%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-31 18:34
Unibet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -13.60%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.66%EV -10.35%E -5.36%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -12.78%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-31 18:59
Winamax (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -14.87%E -4.44%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.15%EV -9.89%E -5.10%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-31 18:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-07-31 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.30%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%1.6%2026-07-31 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.30%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%1.6%2026-07-31 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.30%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%1.6%2026-07-31 18:40