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Derry City v Shelbourne Dublin
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Derry City (Хозяева)
Прогноз 42.12%2.37справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.13%
Преимущество -1.36%
Kelly -2.41%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.30
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
39.87%42.10%42.19%43.98%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.002.202.202.3050.00%45.42%45.45%43.48%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Shelbourne Dublin (Гости)
Прогноз 29.24%3.42справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.571%
Преимущество -0.168%
Kelly -0.238%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.16%29.26%29.21%30.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.903.093.013.4034.48%32.40%33.22%29.41%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 28.64%3.49справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.63%
Преимущество -0.772%
Kelly -1.09%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.81%28.65%28.60%29.60%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.173.153.4034.72%31.55%31.75%29.41%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Derry City (Хозяева): 42.12%; Shelbourne Dublin (Гости): 29.24%; Ничья: 28.64%. Для исхода «Shelbourne Dublin (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.42. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.40, математическое ожидание — -0.571%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -3.97%E -1.74%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -13.73%E -4.65%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-09 08:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.57%EV -4.82%E -2.13%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.55%EV -1.45%E -0.430%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.89%EV -4.63%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.77%EV -2.91%E -0.877%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.77%EV -4.92%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 18:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.77%EV -2.91%E -0.877%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.77%EV -4.92%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 18:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -2.63%E -0.772%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 16:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 04:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-13 04:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-13 04:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.99%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -13.73%E -4.65%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -12.65%E -4.15%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.99%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -13.73%E -4.65%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -12.65%E -4.15%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.23%EV -6.50%E -2.93%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.93%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 19:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 18:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.45%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.82%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-13 18:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-13 19:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-13 04:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-12 22:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-13 15:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-13 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-13 19:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-13 19:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-13 19:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-13 19:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-13 19:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-12 22:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-12 22:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-12 22:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-12 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -0.571%E -0.168%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-13 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-13 16:48 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-13 15:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -15.19%E -5.24%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-13 04:14 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.46%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -13.73%E -4.65%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -14.08%E -4.69%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-13 04:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.42%EV -12.82%E -6.19%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.07%EV -11.68%E -3.87%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.51%EV -11.79%E -3.83%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-13 07:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -15.77%E -7.88%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-03-13 16:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -15.77%E -7.88%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -17.52%E -6.08%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-03-13 15:30 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.22% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41% | 1.5% | 2026-03-13 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.22% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41% | 1.5% | 2026-03-13 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.22% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41% | 1.5% | 2026-03-13 19:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.84% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41% | 1.5% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |