La scuola delle quote

Derry City v Shelbourne Dublin

Inizio: 2026-03-13 19:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

48 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Derry City (Casa)

Previsione 42.12%2.37quota equa
EV -3.13%
Vantaggio -1.36%
Kelly -2.41%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.87%42.10%42.19%43.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.202.202.3050.00%45.42%45.45%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Shelbourne Dublin (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.24%3.42quota equa
EV -0.571%
Vantaggio -0.168%
Kelly -0.238%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.16%29.26%29.21%30.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.093.013.4034.48%32.40%33.22%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.64%3.49quota equa
EV -2.63%
Vantaggio -0.772%
Kelly -1.09%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.81%28.65%28.60%29.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.173.153.4034.72%31.55%31.75%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:00
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:00
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:00
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:00
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:00
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:00
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:00
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:00
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:00
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:00
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -3.97%E -1.74%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -13.73%E -4.65%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-09 08:59
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.57%EV -4.82%E -2.13%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.55%EV -1.45%E -0.430%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.89%EV -4.63%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 19:30
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.77%EV -2.91%E -0.877%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.77%EV -4.92%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 18:49
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.77%EV -2.91%E -0.877%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.77%EV -4.92%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 18:55
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -2.63%E -0.772%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 16:14
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 04:14
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 04:14
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 04:15
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.99%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -13.73%E -4.65%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -12.65%E -4.15%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 19:00
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.99%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -13.73%E -4.65%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -12.65%E -4.15%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 19:00
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.23%EV -6.50%E -2.93%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.93%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 19:15
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 18:54
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.45%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.82%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 19:25
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 18:55
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 19:30
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 19:10
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-13 04:14
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-12 22:45
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-13 15:29
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 18:55
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 19:34
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 19:35
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 19:39
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-13 19:15
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-13 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-12 22:45
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-12 22:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-12 22:45
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-12 22:40
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -0.571%E -0.168%K -0.238%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 18:55
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-13 16:48
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-13 15:30
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -15.19%E -5.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-13 04:14
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.46%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -13.73%E -4.65%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -14.08%E -4.69%K -7.04%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-13 04:14
Unibet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.42%EV -12.82%E -6.19%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.07%EV -11.68%E -3.87%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.51%EV -11.79%E -3.83%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-13 07:59
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -15.77%E -7.88%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-13 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -15.77%E -7.88%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -17.52%E -6.08%K -9.32%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-13 15:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%1.5%2026-03-13 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%1.5%2026-03-13 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%1.5%2026-03-13 19:10
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%1.5%2026-03-13 19:40