La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Derry City v Shelbourne Dublin
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Derry City (Local)
Predicción 42.12%2.37momio equitativo
EV -3.13%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -2.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.87%42.10%42.19%43.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.202.202.3050.00%45.42%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Shelbourne Dublin (Visitante)
Predicción 29.24%3.42momio equitativo
EV -0.571%
Ventaja -0.168%
Kelly -0.238%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.16%29.26%29.21%30.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.093.013.4034.48%32.40%33.22%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.64%3.49momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -0.772%
Kelly -1.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.81%28.65%28.60%29.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.173.153.4034.72%31.55%31.75%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Casumo | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| betPARX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -3.97%E -1.74%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -13.73%E -4.65%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-09 08:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.57%EV -4.82%E -2.13%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.55%EV -1.45%E -0.430%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.89%EV -4.63%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.77%EV -2.91%E -0.877%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.77%EV -4.92%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 18:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.77%EV -2.91%E -0.877%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.77%EV -4.92%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 18:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -2.63%E -0.772%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 16:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 04:14 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-13 04:14 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-13 04:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.99%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -13.73%E -4.65%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -12.65%E -4.15%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.99%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -13.73%E -4.65%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -12.65%E -4.15%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.23%EV -6.50%E -2.93%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.93%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 19:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 18:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.45%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -4.96%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.82%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-13 18:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-13 19:30 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-13 19:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-13 04:14 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-12 22:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-13 15:29 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-13 18:55 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-13 19:34 |
| BetUS | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-13 19:35 |
| BetAnything | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-13 19:39 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.88%E -2.50%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-13 19:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-13 19:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-12 22:45 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-12 22:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-12 22:45 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-12 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -0.571%E -0.168%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-13 18:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-13 16:48 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-13 15:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -15.19%E -5.24%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-13 04:14 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.46%EV -11.56%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -13.73%E -4.65%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -14.08%E -4.69%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-13 04:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.42%EV -12.82%E -6.19%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.07%EV -11.68%E -3.87%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.51%EV -11.79%E -3.83%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-13 07:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -15.77%E -7.88%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-03-13 16:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -15.77%E -7.88%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -17.52%E -6.08%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-03-13 15:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.22% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41% | 1.5% | 2026-03-13 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.22% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41% | 1.5% | 2026-03-13 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.22% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41% | 1.5% | 2026-03-13 19:10 |
| Matchbook | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.84% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41% | 1.5% | 2026-03-13 19:40 |