Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.05
assuming max odds 4.00
assuming max odds 3.41
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bohemians (Local): 46.69%; Shelbourne Dublin (Visit): 25.12%; Draw: 28.19%. For Shelbourne Dublin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.98. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.467%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -7.56%E -3.82%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV +0.467%E +0.117%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.37%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -7.56%E -3.82%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV +0.467%E +0.117%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.37%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -7.56%E -3.82%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV +0.467%E +0.117%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.37%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -2.04%E -0.524%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -9.89%E -5.12%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -2.04%E -0.524%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 15:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.90%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.91%EV -3.05%E -0.790%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.19%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.56%EV -10.82%E -5.67%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -3.30%E -0.857%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -11.19%E -3.55%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-04 15:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -8.02%E -4.07%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -4.05%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.57%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -5.55%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-04 15:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -10.82%E -5.67%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.60%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.17%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -7.07%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -5.55%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-04 15:53 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.85%EV -9.89%E -5.12%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -7.07%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.19%E -3.55%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.96%EV -7.09%E -3.56%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.39%EV -7.57%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.65%EV -4.70%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.37%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-04 15:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.37%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-04 15:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.76%EV -8.49%E -4.33%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 15:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-04 15:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -10.82%E -5.67%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -15.42%E -5.14%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.80%EV -13.16%E -7.07%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -15.42%E -5.14%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -7.56%E -3.82%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.37%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-04 15:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.60%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-04 15:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.00%EV -7.56%E -3.82%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -13.35%E -3.87%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-04 15:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -13.35%E -3.87%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -11.19%E -3.55%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -13.35%E -3.87%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -11.19%E -3.55%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -13.35%E -3.87%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -11.19%E -3.55%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.96%EV -13.16%E -7.07%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.32%EV -13.35%E -3.87%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.73%EV -11.19%E -3.55%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -14.60%E -4.29%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.60%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.60%E -4.29%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.60%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.60%E -4.29%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.60%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.60%E -4.29%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.60%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -10.82%E -5.67%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -14.60%E -4.29%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -18.80%E -6.53%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-04 15:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.14%EV -9.42%E -4.86%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -15.86%E -4.73%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.71%EV -14.01%E -4.59%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.83%EV -10.36%E -5.39%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -17.11%E -5.19%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.50%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-04 15:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60% | 1.3% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60% | 1.3% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60% | 1.3% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |