La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Bohemians v Shelbourne Dublin
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Bohemians (Local)
Predicción 46.69%2.14momio equitativo
EV -4.29%
Ventaja -2.09%
Kelly -4.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.77%46.70%46.64%47.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.861.981.982.0553.76%50.47%50.51%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Shelbourne Dublin (Visitante)
Predicción 25.12%3.98momio equitativo
EV +0.467%
Ventaja +0.117%
Kelly +0.156%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.52%25.08%25.26%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.593.504.0030.30%27.87%28.57%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.19%3.55momio equitativo
EV -3.86%
Ventaja -1.13%
Kelly -1.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.11%28.22%28.10%29.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.203.203.4134.72%31.25%31.25%29.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -7.56%E -3.82%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV +0.467%E +0.117%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.37%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -7.56%E -3.82%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV +0.467%E +0.117%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.37%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| BetAnything | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -7.56%E -3.82%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV +0.467%E +0.117%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.37%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -2.04%E -0.524%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -9.89%E -5.12%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -2.04%E -0.524%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 15:24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.90%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.91%EV -3.05%E -0.790%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.19%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.56%EV -10.82%E -5.67%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -3.30%E -0.857%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -11.19%E -3.55%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-04 15:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -8.02%E -4.07%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -4.05%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.57%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -5.55%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-04 15:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -10.82%E -5.67%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -5.81%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.60%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.17%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -7.07%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -5.55%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-04 15:53 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.85%EV -9.89%E -5.12%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -7.07%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.19%E -3.55%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.96%EV -7.09%E -3.56%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.39%EV -7.57%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.65%EV -4.70%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.37%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-04 15:24 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.37%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-04 15:25 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.76%EV -8.49%E -4.33%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 15:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-04 15:24 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -10.82%E -5.67%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -15.42%E -5.14%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.80%EV -13.16%E -7.07%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -9.58%E -2.66%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -15.42%E -5.14%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| LeoVegas | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Casumo | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Unibet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| betPARX | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -7.56%E -3.82%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.37%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-04 15:24 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.09%E -3.45%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.60%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-04 15:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.00%EV -7.56%E -3.82%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -13.35%E -3.87%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-04 15:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -13.35%E -3.87%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -11.19%E -3.55%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -13.35%E -3.87%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -11.19%E -3.55%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -13.35%E -3.87%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -11.19%E -3.55%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.96%EV -13.16%E -7.07%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.32%EV -13.35%E -3.87%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.73%EV -11.19%E -3.55%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -14.60%E -4.29%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.60%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.60%E -4.29%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.60%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.60%E -4.29%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.60%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.60%E -4.29%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.60%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -10.82%E -5.67%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -14.60%E -4.29%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -18.80%E -6.53%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-04 15:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.14%EV -9.42%E -4.86%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -15.86%E -4.73%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.71%EV -14.01%E -4.59%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.83%EV -10.36%E -5.39%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -17.11%E -5.19%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.50%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-04 15:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60% | 1.3% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60% | 1.3% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60% | 1.3% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |