Language:English
Bohemians v Drogheda United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bohemians (Local)
Prediction 66.08%1.51fair odd
EV -4.84%
Edge -3.36%
Kelly -11.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.38%66.10%66.01%69.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.391.401.4476.92%71.87%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Drogheda United (Visit)
Prediction 14.20%7.04fair odd
EV +13.58%
Edge +1.70%
Kelly +1.94%
Growth +0.264%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.61%14.20%14.21%17.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.956.486.508.0020.20%15.44%15.38%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.72%5.07fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.281%
Kelly -0.351%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.57%19.70%19.78%21.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.584.605.0023.81%21.84%21.74%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bohemians (Local): 66.08%; Drogheda United (Visit): 14.20%; Draw: 19.72%. For Drogheda United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.04. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -12.11%E -9.10%K -36.70%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +13.58%E +1.70%K +1.94%G +0.264% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.40%E -0.281%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-14 20:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.19%EV -6.16%E -4.34%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.72%EV +6.48%E +0.864%K +0.997%G +0.065% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -6.33%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.26%EV -8.14%E -5.86%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV +5.06%E +0.684%K +0.791%G +0.040% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.11%EV -8.31%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -8.81%E -6.38%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.57%EV +5.06%E +0.684%K +0.791%G +0.040% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.01%EV -8.31%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 15:23 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.41%EV -6.82%E -4.84%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.615%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -1.40%E -0.281%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-18 14:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -8.81%E -6.38%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -0.615%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -7.32%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.50%EV -8.81%E -6.38%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -0.615%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -11.26%E -2.50%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -6.82%E -4.84%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.16%E -0.617%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.29%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 07:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -6.82%E -4.84%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.16%E -0.617%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.29%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 07:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -6.82%E -4.84%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.16%E -0.617%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.29%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 07:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -6.82%E -4.84%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.16%E -0.617%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.29%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 07:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -6.82%E -4.84%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.16%E -0.617%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.29%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 07:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -6.82%E -4.84%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.16%E -0.617%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.29%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 07:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -6.82%E -4.84%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.16%E -0.617%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.29%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 07:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -6.82%E -4.84%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.16%E -0.617%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.29%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 07:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -6.82%E -4.84%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.16%E -0.617%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.29%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 07:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -8.81%E -6.38%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV -4.16%E -0.617%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.26%E -2.50%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.40%EV -4.84%E -3.36%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 6.71I 14.90%NM 14.25%EV -4.73%E -0.705%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 4.94I 20.24%NM 19.35%EV -2.59%E -0.524%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -7.71%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.29%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 15:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.10%EV -9.47%E -6.91%K -25.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -7.71%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -3.38%E -0.689%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -7.71%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -13.24%E -3.01%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -7.71%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -17.18%E -4.09%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-18 14:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.13%E -7.45%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -7.71%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.26%E -2.50%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.13%E -7.45%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -7.71%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.26%E -2.50%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-18 15:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.36%EV -12.11%E -9.10%K -36.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -7.71%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.06%EV -13.24%E -3.01%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-18 15:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.16%E -4.34%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -9.13%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -7.32%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.16%E -4.34%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -9.13%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -7.32%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.16%E -4.34%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -9.13%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -7.32%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-18 14:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.16%E -4.34%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -9.13%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -7.32%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.56%EV -9.47%E -6.91%K -25.58%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.03%EV -9.13%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.41%EV -13.24%E -3.01%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-18 07:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.56%EV -9.47%E -6.91%K -25.58%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.03%EV -9.13%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.41%EV -13.24%E -3.01%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-18 07:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.72%EV -10.13%E -7.45%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.97%EV -9.13%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -13.24%E -3.01%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-18 07:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -11.26%E -1.80%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -9.29%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-18 14:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.29%EV -10.13%E -7.45%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -11.26%E -1.80%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -14.62%E -3.38%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.52%EV -10.79%E -7.99%K -30.82%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.15%EV -11.26%E -1.80%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.33%EV -14.22%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-18 07:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.75%EV -6.82%E -4.84%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.97%EV -13.39%E -2.20%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.26%E -2.50%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 15:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.75%EV -6.82%E -4.84%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.97%EV -13.39%E -2.20%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.26%E -2.50%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 15:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 65.68%EV -14.09%E -10.84%K -46.97%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.00%EV -13.39%E -2.20%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.33%EV -17.18%E -4.09%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-09-18 07:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -6.16%E -4.34%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -14.81%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -6.33%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -14.81%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -6.33%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.81%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.26%E -2.50%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-18 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.81%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.26%E -2.50%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-18 14:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.81%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.26%E -2.50%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-18 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.81%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.26%E -2.50%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-18 14:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.23%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -17.65%E -3.04%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.03%EV -5.35%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.94%EV -8.81%E -6.38%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.58%EV -18.36%E -3.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.48%EV -9.29%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.50%EV -8.14%E -5.86%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV -20.49%E -3.66%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -9.29%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 62.38%EV -9.47%E -6.91%K -25.58%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 17.27%EV -29.72%E -6.00%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.35%EV -17.18%E -4.09%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.52% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75% | 0.7% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.69% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.0% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.69% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.0% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.69% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.0% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |