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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Bohemians v Drogheda United

Início: 2026-09-18 19:00 UTC

Final: Bohemians 2–1 Drogheda United

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Bohemians (Local)

Previsão 66.08%1.51odd justa
EV -4.84%
Vantagem -3.36%
Kelly -11.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.38%66.10%66.01%69.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.301.391.401.4476.92%71.87%71.43%69.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Drogheda United (Visitante)

Previsão 14.20%7.04odd justa
EV +13.58%
Vantagem +1.70%
Kelly +1.94%
Crescimento +0.264%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.61%14.20%14.21%17.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.956.486.508.0020.20%15.44%15.38%12.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 19.72%5.07odd justa
EV -1.40%
Vantagem -0.281%
Kelly -0.351%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.57%19.70%19.78%21.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.584.605.0023.81%21.84%21.74%20.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Bohemians (Local): 66.08%; Drogheda United (Visitante): 14.20%; Empate: 19.72%. Para Drogheda United (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.04. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 8.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +13.58%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -12.11%E -9.10%K -36.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +13.58%E +1.70%K +1.94%G +0.264%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.40%E -0.281%K -0.351%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-14 20:00
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.19%EV -6.16%E -4.34%K -14.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.72%EV +6.48%E +0.864%K +0.997%G +0.065%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -6.33%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 14:30
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.26%EV -8.14%E -5.86%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV +5.06%E +0.684%K +0.791%G +0.040%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.11%EV -8.31%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 15:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.42%EV -8.81%E -6.38%K -23.17%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.57%EV +5.06%E +0.684%K +0.791%G +0.040%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.01%EV -8.31%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 15:23
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.41%EV -6.82%E -4.84%K -16.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.615%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -1.40%E -0.281%K -0.351%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 14:29
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -8.81%E -6.38%K -23.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -0.615%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -7.32%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 15:05
Bet Right🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.50%EV -8.81%E -6.38%K -23.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -0.615%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -11.26%E -2.50%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 14:30
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -6.82%E -4.84%K -16.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.16%E -0.617%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.29%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 07:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -6.82%E -4.84%K -16.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.16%E -0.617%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.29%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 07:05
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -6.82%E -4.84%K -16.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.16%E -0.617%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.29%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 07:05
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -6.82%E -4.84%K -16.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.16%E -0.617%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.29%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 07:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -6.82%E -4.84%K -16.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.16%E -0.617%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.29%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 07:05
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -6.82%E -4.84%K -16.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.16%E -0.617%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.29%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 07:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -6.82%E -4.84%K -16.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.16%E -0.617%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.29%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 07:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -6.82%E -4.84%K -16.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.16%E -0.617%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.29%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 07:05
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -6.82%E -4.84%K -16.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -4.16%E -0.617%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.29%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 07:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -8.81%E -6.38%K -23.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV -4.16%E -0.617%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.26%E -2.50%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 14:30
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.40%EV -4.84%E -3.36%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.71I 14.90%NM 14.25%EV -4.73%E -0.705%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 19.35%EV -2.59%E -0.524%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 15:30
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -7.71%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.29%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 15:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.10%EV -9.47%E -6.91%K -25.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -7.71%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -3.38%E -0.689%K -0.866%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 15:00
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -7.71%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -13.24%E -3.01%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 14:55
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -7.71%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -17.18%E -4.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 14:50
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.13%E -7.45%K -28.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -7.71%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.26%E -2.50%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-18 14:30
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.13%E -7.45%K -28.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -7.71%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.26%E -2.50%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-18 15:04
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.36%EV -12.11%E -9.10%K -36.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -7.71%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.06%EV -13.24%E -3.01%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-18 15:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.16%E -4.34%K -14.67%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -9.13%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -7.32%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 15:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.16%E -4.34%K -14.67%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -9.13%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -7.32%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 15:30
BetAnything🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.16%E -4.34%K -14.67%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -9.13%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -7.32%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 14:59
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -6.16%E -4.34%K -14.67%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -9.13%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -7.32%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.56%EV -9.47%E -6.91%K -25.58%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.03%EV -9.13%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.41%EV -13.24%E -3.01%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 07:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.56%EV -9.47%E -6.91%K -25.58%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.03%EV -9.13%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.41%EV -13.24%E -3.01%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 07:04
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.72%EV -10.13%E -7.45%K -28.13%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.97%EV -9.13%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -13.24%E -3.01%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 07:00
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -11.26%E -1.80%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -9.29%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 14:29
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.29%EV -10.13%E -7.45%K -28.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -11.26%E -1.80%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -14.62%E -3.38%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-18 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.52%EV -10.79%E -7.99%K -30.82%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.15%EV -11.26%E -1.80%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.33%EV -14.22%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-18 07:05
Betsson🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.75%EV -6.82%E -4.84%K -16.64%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.97%EV -13.39%E -2.20%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.26%E -2.50%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 15:04
NordicBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.75%EV -6.82%E -4.84%K -16.64%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.97%EV -13.39%E -2.20%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.26%E -2.50%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 15:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 65.68%EV -14.09%E -10.84%K -46.97%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.00%EV -13.39%E -2.20%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.33%EV -17.18%E -4.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-18 07:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -6.16%E -4.34%K -14.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -14.81%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -6.33%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 15:05
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -14.81%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -6.33%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 15:25
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.81%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.26%E -2.50%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-18 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.81%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.26%E -2.50%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-18 14:29
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.81%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.26%E -2.50%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-18 14:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.81%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.26%E -2.50%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-18 14:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.23%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -17.65%E -3.04%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.03%EV -5.35%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 15:05
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.94%EV -8.81%E -6.38%K -23.17%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.58%EV -18.36%E -3.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.48%EV -9.29%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-18 15:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 64.50%EV -8.14%E -5.86%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV -20.49%E -3.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -9.29%E -2.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 15:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 62.38%EV -9.47%E -6.91%K -25.58%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.27%EV -29.72%E -6.00%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.35%EV -17.18%E -4.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-18 15:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.52%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75%0.7%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.69%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%1.0%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.69%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%1.0%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.69%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%1.0%2026-09-18 15:30